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FORECASTING THE EXCHANGE RATES OF THE US DOLLAR AGAINST THE IRAQI DINAR USING THE BOX-JENKINS METHODOLOGY IN TIME SERIES WITH PRACTICAL APPLICATION
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The goal of the study is to discover the best model for forecasting the exchange rate of the US dollar against the Iraqi dinar by analyzing time series using the Box Jenkis approach, which is one of the most significant subjects in the statistical sciences employed in the analysis. The exchange rate of the dollar is considered one of the most important determinants of the relative level of the health of the country's economy. It is considered the most watched, analyzed and manipulated measure by the government. There are factors affecting in determining the exchange rate, the most important of which are the amount of money, interest rate and local inflation global balance of payments. The data for the research that represents the exchange rate of the US dollar against the Iraqi dinar for the period (31-8-2010) to (31-3-2021) has been collected from the Central Bank of Iraq and based on the statistical program SPSS and using the Box-Jenkins methodology a series was drawn. The data is analyzed and the appropriate differences are taken to achieve the stationary of the series, then diagnose the appropriate model for it and choose the best model and using the comparison criteria MSE, MAPE to evaluate the predicted models to use the best model for prediction. It was found that the best models extracted in the research through the methodology are the models of the order (1,1,0), which gave the lowest value from ADF, BIC, RMAE, MAPE, and the dollar exchange rate was predicted for the year 2022

Scopus
Publication Date
Sun Jun 01 2014
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Synthesis and characterization of new Oxazine , Thiazine and Pyrazol derived from chalcones
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In this study, chalcones were synthesis by condensing 2-acetylpyridine with aromatic aldehyde derivatives in dilute ethanolic potassium hydroxide solution at room temperature according to Claisen-Schmidt condensation. After that, new heterocyclic derivatives such as Oxazine, Thiazine and Pyrazol were synthesis by reaction between chalcones with urea, thiourea and hydrazine hydrate respectively scheme 1. All these compounds wrer characterization by FTIR, 1H-NMR spectroscopy and elemental analysis.

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Crossref
Publication Date
Sun Feb 25 2024
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
An Adaptive Harmony Search Part-of-Speech tagger for Square Hmong Corpus
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Data-driven models perform poorly on part-of-speech tagging problems with the square Hmong language, a low-resource corpus. This paper designs a weight evaluation function to reduce the influence of unknown words. It proposes an improved harmony search algorithm utilizing the roulette and local evaluation strategies for handling the square Hmong part-of-speech tagging problem. The experiment shows that the average accuracy of the proposed model is 6%, 8% more than HMM and BiLSTM-CRF models, respectively. Meanwhile, the average F1 of the proposed model is also 6%, 3% more than HMM and BiLSTM-CRF models, respectively.

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Scopus (4)
Crossref (2)
Scopus Crossref
Publication Date
Wed Mar 10 2021
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Curing of Maleimidyl Phenol-Formaldehyde Resins Via Esterification and Free Radical Polymerization
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Three phenol-formaldehyde resins having pendant maleimides were prepared by poly condensation of N-(hydroxyphenyl) maleimides with formaldehyde under conditions similar to those in Novolac preparation. The prepared resins were modified by two methods, the first one includes esterification of phenolic hydroxyl groups in the prepared resins via their treatment with benzoyl, acryloyl, methacryloyl and cinnamoyl chlorides respectively in the presence of triethylamine, while the second modification includes free radical polymerization of vinylic bonds in the prepared resins to produce cross-linked thermally stable polymers.

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Publication Date
Thu Apr 18 2019
Journal Name
Al-kindy College Medical Journal
Congenital Club Foot Treated By Of Ponseti Method : A Short-Term Results
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Background: Congenital club foot is a complex deformity of foot .It is a collection of different abnormalities, with different etiologies. Consequently, Severity varies with   difficulties in evaluating treatment strategies with outcome results. The treatment of congenital club foot remains controversial. Usually, the orthopedist's goal is to obtain anatomically and functionally normal feet in all patients.                                Objective: To asses short term follow up result of conservatively treated club feet in relation to the age of initial casting by Ponseti technique.           Methods :A cross sectional observational study with some comparative content done in Al-kindy

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Crossref
Publication Date
Sun Dec 11 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Basic Education
Rationalization of two strength endurance tests for juniors Ages under (16) years
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Carrying strength is one of the important physical capabilities in the field of competitive sports, which affects the success of the sports training process and helps players to continue to perform skillfully, physically and tactically for as long as possible, and the capacity for endurance varies depending on the type of sports activities, it may sometimes be very short. And with a high level of intensity, such as gymnastics and wrestling movements, and it may be long, and with a medium level of intensity, as in basketball, football and other games. The research community represents a sample of Baghdad players for teams (football, basketball, handball, volleyball, wrestling, weightlifting) and for the sports season (2017-2018 AD) for ages

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Publication Date
Sat Jun 01 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages
Dylan Thomas:The vision of Death as a Prologue to a New Life
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Dylan Thomas (1914-1953) is a modern poet belongs to the apocalyptic movement of the 1940's.This movement is influenced by the doctrines and techniques of surrealism. Poetry for him should not be primarily concerned with man in society, but with the celebration of spiritual truth. It should bring to light the hidden causes, hence his personal interest is to strip darkness and explore the inward motives. To do this he uses a cluster of images: a constant building up and breaking down of images. His poetry depends on the romantic spontaneity, suggestiveness of the Symbolists and the the surrealists' mysterious liberation of the unconsciousness and the emotional involvement in the dynamics of life. In "Light Breaks

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Publication Date
Tue Jul 02 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of Baghdad College Of Dentistry
Local Drug Delivery Systems for Treating Periodontal Diseases: A Review of Literature
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Publication Date
Sat Aug 10 2019
Journal Name
Engineering, Technology & Applied Science Research
Performance of Segmental Post-Τensioned Concrete Beams Exposed to High Fire Temperature
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The present study illustrates observations, record accurate description and discussion about the behavior of twelve tested, simply supported, precast, prestressed, segmental, concrete beams with different segment numbers exposed to high fire temperatures of 300°C, 500°C, and 700°C. The test program included thermal tests by using a furnace manufactured for this purpose to expose to high burning temperature (fire flame) nine beams which were loaded with sustaining dead load throughout the burning process. The beams were divided into three groups depending on the precast segments number. All had an identical total length of 3150mm but each had different segment number (9, 7, and 5 segments), in other words, different segment length

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Crossref (6)
Crossref
Publication Date
Tue Oct 30 2018
Journal Name
Acs Omega
Catalytic Hydrogenation of p-Chloronitrobenzene to p-Chloroaniline Mediated by $γ$-Mo2N
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Promoting the production of industrially important aromatic chloroamines over transition-metal nitrides catalysts has emerged as a prominent theme in catalysis. This contribution provides an insight into the reduction mechanism of p-chloronitrobenzene (p-CNB) to p-chloroaniline (p-CAN) over the γ-Mo2N(111) surface by means of density functional theory calculations. The adsorption energies of various molecularly adsorbed modes of p-CNB were computed. Our findings display that, p-CNB prefers to be adsorbed over two distinct adsorption sites, namely, Mo-hollow face-centered cubic (fcc) and N-hollow hexagonal close-packed (hcp) sites with adsorption energies of −32.1 and −38.5 kcal/mol, respectively. We establish that the activation of nit

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Publication Date
Sun Nov 01 2015
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering
Vibration analysis of angle-ply laminates composite plate under thermo-mechanical effect
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The paper presents mainly the dynamic response of an angle ply composite laminated plates subjected to thermo-mechanical loading. The response are analyzed by analytically using Newmark direct integration method with Navier solution, numerically by ANSYS. The experimental investigation is to fabricate the laminates and to find mechanical and thermal properties of glass-polyester such as longitudinal, transverse young modulus, shear modulus, longitudinal and transverse thermal expansion. Present of temperature could increase dynamic response of plate also depending on lamination angle, type of mechanical load and the value of temperature.

 

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