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bsj-7489
Building a Sustainable GARCH Model to Forecast Rubber Price: Modified Huber Weighting Function Approach
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The unstable and uncertain nature of natural rubber prices makes them highly volatile and prone to outliers, which can have a significant impact on both modeling and forecasting. To tackle this issue, the author recommends a hybrid model that combines the autoregressive (AR) and Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models. The model utilizes the Huber weighting function to ensure the forecast value of rubber prices remains sustainable even in the presence of outliers. The study aims to develop a sustainable model and forecast daily prices for a 12-day period by analyzing 2683 daily price data from Standard Malaysian Rubber Grade 20 (SMR 20) in Malaysia. The analysis incorporates two dispersion measurements (IQR/3 and Sn) and three levels of IO contamination 0%, 10%, and 20%. The results indicate that using the Huber weighting function with the IQR/3 measurement to build the AR(1)-GARCH(2,1) model leads to better sustainability. These findings have the potential to enhance the GARCH model by modifying the weighting function of the M-estimator

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Publication Date
Fri Jul 24 2020
Journal Name
Indian Journal Of Forensic Medicine & Toxicology
Using Bioluminescence Assay to Detect Snps Cause Drug Resistant of Mycobacterium Tuberculosis in Iraq
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In this search, a new bioluminescent technique was proved for pyrophosphate which was employed to single- nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) diagnosis using one-base extension reaction. Four Mycobacterium tuberculosis genes were chosen (Rpob, InhA, KatG, GyrA) genes. Fifty-four specimens were used in this study fifty-three proved as drug-resistant specimens by The Iraqi Institute of Chest and Respiratory Diseases in Baghdad., also one specimen was used as a negative control. The procedure of this assay was as follows. A specific primer within each aliquot owning a short 3-OH end of the base of the target gene was hybridized to the single-stranded DNA template. Then, (exo-) Klenow DNA polymerase and one of either ?-thio-dATP, dTTP, dGTP, or dCTP

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Publication Date
Fri Jun 29 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
THE PROBLEM RELATED TO WORKING IN KINDERGARTEN FROM THE POINT OF VIEW OF TEACHERS
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           kindergarten teacher is one of the fundamental pillars upon which the kindergarten environment so that exposure to a number of problems that could affect its functioning in addition to any deficiencies in this environment leads to deprive a child of some activities and acquisition of concepts so the researcher studying the problems of working in kindergartens from the perspective of the parameters, so the researcher based measuring instrument for labour problems of (30) search sample was paragraph (50) parameter that was chosen at random and have been extracted Sincerity and strength tool researcher used statistical methods and discriminatory (Pearson correlation coefficient, t

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Publication Date
Sat Feb 09 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The Impact of Arabic Poetry and Proverbs in Teaching English to Non-Native Speakers
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Knowledge of literature is an integral part of learning any spoken language. Learning literature expands the learner’s ability to understand the language studied. The field of literature is wide and cannot be limited to poems. It includes the etiquettes of a language and its environment, customs, and traditions etc. The Arabic language is among the languages with a centuries old history. It has achieved remarkable record accomplishments since the pre-Islamic era through to the present. This development is clear evidence of the great importance of literature in the revival of the Arabic language through different eras. As such, in Malaysia and other non-Arabic speaking countries, literature is taught in most schools, institutions and un

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Publication Date
Tue May 28 2019
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Treatment of Waste Extract Lubricating Oil by Catalytic Cracking Process to Produce Light Fractions
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The catalytic cracking of three feeds of extract lubricating oil, that produced as a by-product from the process of furfural extraction of lubricating oil base stock in AL-Dura refinery at different operating condition, were carried out at a fixed bed laboratory reactor. The initial boiling point for these feeds was 140 ºC for sample (1), 86 ºC for sample (2) and 80 ºC for sample (3). The catalytic cracking processes were carried out at temperature range 325-400 ºC and initially at atmospheric pressure after 30 minutes over 9.88 % HY-zeolite catalyst load. The comparison between the conversion at different operating conditions of catalytic cracking processes indicates that a high yield was obtained at 375°C, according to gasoline pr

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Publication Date
Thu Apr 27 2023
Journal Name
Medical Journal Of Babylon
Histological Changes in Liver and Cardiac Rat Tissues after Exposure to Chitosan Nanoparticles Orally
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Publication Date
Sun Apr 17 2016
Journal Name
Al-academy
The art of make-up and its relation to personality play: زيد سالم سليمان
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It is well known that the art of theater is based on multiple elements come in the forefront of Representative and his work, and must be of such a representative of the kits help him to complete his work and take it out the image that aspires to it is team work, and these supplies are in the two main axes:First: Internal supplies which runs from the imagination through the focusing and memory Representative and adapts to situations and positions and others.The second is a foreign supplies, which starts from his words and gestures and his movement and his voice, which is the need to requirements help to maturation and completion of this aspect, including the lighting, costumes, decor, make-up, is the role of make-up theater and its import

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Publication Date
Sun Nov 28 2021
Journal Name
Route Educational & Social Science Journal
ARTISTIC EXPRESSION AMONG PRIMARY SCHOOL STUDENTS AND ITS RELATIONSHIP TO THE CONTEMPLATIVE THINKING VARIABLE
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The early childhood stage, which is usually described as establishing the development and growth of most of the child’s mental, psychological, moral, and physical abilities, so scientists and researchers have been interested in the growth and upbringing of the child, especially for the specified period between (6 until the age of 11) due to the importance of education in this stage. The age stage in terms of developing the child’s senses and experiences, because he is by nature inclined to play and draw in his instinctive activity, according to which his natural responses to stimuli and his contemplation of what surrounds him change. Since drawing plays an important role in raising a child from an emotional and intellectual point of vie

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Publication Date
Wed Jan 31 2018
Journal Name
Engineering Journal
Residual Strength of Composite Unprotected Steel-Deck Floor Exposed to High Temperature (Fire Flame)
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Publication Date
Sat Apr 01 2017
Journal Name
International Journal Of Science And Research
Evaluating the Behavior of Ring Footing on Two-Layered Soil Subjected to Inclined Load
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Evaluating the behavior of a ring foundation resting on multi-layered soil is one of the important issues facing civil engineers. Many researchers have studied the behavior of ring foundation rests on multi-layered soil with vertical loads acting on the foundation. In real life ring foundation can be subjected to both vertical and horizontal loads at the same time due to wind or the presence of soil. In this research, the behavior of ring footing subjected to inclined load has been studied using PLAXIS software. Furthermore, the effect of multi-layered soil has been simulated in the model. The results showed that both vertical and horizontal stresses are mainly affected when the inclination angle of the load exceeded 45 degrees with a reduc

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Publication Date
Fri Apr 22 2011
Journal Name
Raqi Journal Of Agricultural Sciences 42 (6), 43-53‏
RELATION OF IRRIGATION WATR SALINITY TO OLIVE LEAVES CONTENT OF PROLINE AND MINERAL NUTRIENTS‏
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