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Building a Sustainable GARCH Model to Forecast Rubber Price: Modified Huber Weighting Function Approach
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The unstable and uncertain nature of natural rubber prices makes them highly volatile and prone to outliers, which can have a significant impact on both modeling and forecasting. To tackle this issue, the author recommends a hybrid model that combines the autoregressive (AR) and Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models. The model utilizes the Huber weighting function to ensure the forecast value of rubber prices remains sustainable even in the presence of outliers. The study aims to develop a sustainable model and forecast daily prices for a 12-day period by analyzing 2683 daily price data from Standard Malaysian Rubber Grade 20 (SMR 20) in Malaysia. The analysis incorporates two dispersion measurements (IQR/3 and Sn) and three levels of IO contamination 0%, 10%, and 20%. The results indicate that using the Huber weighting function with the IQR/3 measurement to build the AR(1)-GARCH(2,1) model leads to better sustainability. These findings have the potential to enhance the GARCH model by modifying the weighting function of the M-estimator

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Publication Date
Wed May 10 2017
Journal Name
Australian Journal Of Basic And Applied Sciences
Block-based Image Steganography for Text Hiding Using YUV Color Model and Secret Key Cryptography Methods
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Publication Date
Wed Sep 15 2021
Journal Name
Al-academy
Exposure and its working mechanisms in theatrical multi-scene model "critical dramaturgy study": يوسف رشيد جبر
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The concept of intertextuality was one of the problems that occupied the attention of critics and critics in targeting the structure of textual intertextuality between texts and their overlap in the process of producing meaning. Until intertextuality became a stable term and it can be monitored in the structure of the theatrical text and determining the mechanisms of this intertextuality between texts through fields and classifications agreed upon by the most important critics who wrote and considered intertextuality. Perhaps our previous research (the approach of exposure in the epistemological hallway to intertextuality) was an attempt to interview a terminology, which the researcher intended to monitor, through the mechanisms of inter

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Publication Date
Sat Jun 01 2024
Journal Name
Results In Engineering
Stability analysis for the phytoplankton-zooplankton model with depletion of dissolved oxygen and strong Allee effects
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Publication Date
Mon Nov 01 2021
Journal Name
Energy Reports
Global solar radiation prediction over North Dakota using air temperature: Development of novel hybrid intelligence model
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Publication Date
Mon Jun 01 2020
Journal Name
Iop Conference Series: Materials Science And Engineering
On Bayesian Estimation of System Reliability in Stress – Strength Model Based on Generalized Inverse Rayleigh Distribution
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Abstract<p>The parameter and system reliability in stress-strength model are estimated in this paper when the system contains several parallel components that have strengths subjects to common stress in case when the stress and strengths follow Generalized Inverse Rayleigh distribution by using different Bayesian estimation methods. Monte Carlo simulation introduced to compare among the proposal methods based on the Mean squared Error criteria.</p>
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Publication Date
Tue Jan 23 2018
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Market Research And Consumer Protection
ESTIMATION OF SOME CHEMICAL AND PHYSICAL PROPERTIES USING A WATER TREATMENT UNIT VORTISAND COMPARED TO THEIR CONCENTRATION IN WATER PRODUCED BY TRIDINTINAL DRINKING WATER PROJECTS IN BAGHDAD.: ESTIMATION OF SOME CHEMICAL AND PHYSICAL PROPERTIES USING A WATER TREATMENT UNIT VORTISAND COMPARED TO THEIR CONCENTRATION IN WATER PRODUCED BY TRIDINTINAL DRINKING WATER PROJECTS IN BAGHDAD.
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This study was conducted to determine the ability of water treatment system (Vortisand) to reduce some chemical and physical properties for tigris river raw water, It consisted of turbidity, electrical conductivity, pH, total hardness, calcium Hardness as well as temperature in order to determine the unit`s efficiency for reducing their concentration as compared to those in the water produced by some classical potable water projects (Dora and Wathba) in Baghdad. Samples were collected during the cold months (December 2016 and January 2017) and during the hot months (May and June 2017). The results showed that this system has the ability to reduce some properties such as turbidity, the values were 215NTU in raw water and decreased to NTU

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 01 2023
Journal Name
Ssrn Electronic Journal
How to Build Your House?
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After the designs for the house plan and the facade plan are completed, the construction implementation stages are proceeded. Below: Fig. 1 design Determining the plot of land, the building area and the spaces, and drawing the map by a specialized technical authority (engineer or engineering office) depending on the dimensions of the plot for example, building maps of 100 meters 5 by 20. Keywords: how, to, build, house

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Publication Date
Thu Jan 01 2015
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
Euro-Mediterranean cooperation to partnership
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تقدمت احداث النصف الاخير من القرن الماضي من تاريخ العالم الاقتصادي صور كثيرة من التكتلات والاليات التعاونية والتشاركية القائمة على مصادر مختلفة للتجمع الاقتصادي من اهمها شكل الشراكات التجارية والاقتصادية ولها امثلة كثيرة على المستوى الاقتصادي الدولي ومنها الشراكة الاورومتوسطية التي تمثل منطقة حيوية في حسابات التبادل الدولي تجاريا وراسماليا ولكن هذا التشكيل التكتلي يحتاج الى وقفه تخص

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Publication Date
Fri Jun 29 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The Tasks of the Intermediate Schoolmasters in Reference to Time Administration according to Headmaster’s Viewpoint
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The aim of this research is to recognize the tasks undertaken by   the   headmasters   of   intermediate   schools   concerning   time- administration,   in   accordance   to   the   viewpoints   of   the headmasters   of   intermediate   schools   in   the   Administration   of Education   of   Al-Karkh   the   Third.   The   sample   of   this   research consists   of   (60)   headmasters   and &n

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Publication Date
Mon Jun 30 2008
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Chemical And Petroleum Engineering
Optimal Quantitave and Distributive Analysis of Thermal Pollution due to Heated Water Released to Rivers
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To reduce the effects of discharging heated water disposed into a river flow by a single thermal source, two parameters were changed to get the minimum effect using optimization. The first parameter is to distribute the total flow of the heated water between two disposal points (double source) instead of one and the second is to change the distance between these two points. In order to achieve the solution, a two dimensional numerical model was developed to simulate and predict the changes in temperature distribution in the river due to disposal of the heated water using these two points of disposal.
MATLAB-7 software was used to build a program that could solve the governing partial equations of thermal pollution in rivers by using t

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