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Building a Sustainable GARCH Model to Forecast Rubber Price: Modified Huber Weighting Function Approach
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The unstable and uncertain nature of natural rubber prices makes them highly volatile and prone to outliers, which can have a significant impact on both modeling and forecasting. To tackle this issue, the author recommends a hybrid model that combines the autoregressive (AR) and Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models. The model utilizes the Huber weighting function to ensure the forecast value of rubber prices remains sustainable even in the presence of outliers. The study aims to develop a sustainable model and forecast daily prices for a 12-day period by analyzing 2683 daily price data from Standard Malaysian Rubber Grade 20 (SMR 20) in Malaysia. The analysis incorporates two dispersion measurements (IQR/3 and Sn) and three levels of IO contamination 0%, 10%, and 20%. The results indicate that using the Huber weighting function with the IQR/3 measurement to build the AR(1)-GARCH(2,1) model leads to better sustainability. These findings have the potential to enhance the GARCH model by modifying the weighting function of the M-estimator

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Publication Date
Sun Sep 03 2023
Journal Name
مجلة درااست دولية
بناء الدولة في الفكر السياسي لجون راولز
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تعد مسالة بناء الدولة احدة المواضيع المهمة في حقل الدراسات السياسية والتي تعكس مظهراً متعدد الابعاد لمبدأ الثقة المنشود بين الحاكم والمحكوم، فمنذ أمد طويل تحاول الدول تحقيق تنميتها السياسية والبحث عن مقومات ترشيد سياسي لقدراتها المؤسساتية والوظيفية بهدف تعزيز اسس التكامل والاندماج بين المجتمع السياسي والمجتمع المدني. عليه انطلق جون راولز في مفهومه لبناء الدولة المعاصرة من بناء المجتمع العادل، فالعدالة ه

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Publication Date
Wed Jan 02 2008
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
الطائفية وتداعياتها على بناء الدولة العراقية المعاصرة
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الطائفية وتداعياتها على بناء الدولة العراقية المعاصرة

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Publication Date
Wed Jan 02 2008
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
اشكالية بناء ثقافة مشاركة في الوطن العربي
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اشكالية بناء ثقافة مشاركة في الوطن العربي

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Publication Date
Sun Oct 01 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
Construction Bullying scale for Kindergarten child
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Construction of photographed bullying scale of kindergarteners was the aim of this study. The study conducted to answer the raised question, could the bullying among kindergarteners be measured?. A total of (200) boy and girl were selected from city of Baghdad to be the sample of the study. The scale composed of (27) item with colored pictures. It takes about (15) minuets to answer the whole scale items. SPSS tools were used to process the collected data. The result showed that the bullying among kindergarteners could be measured.

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Publication Date
Mon Feb 13 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
Developing an Achievement Test in Light of the Specifications Table
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Abstract

The research addresses the specification table and the extent of its use in developing achievement tests, as well as detects the obstacles to its use through a sample of (120) respondents from the faculty members in some Baghdad schools and colleges. After unpacking and processing the data statistically, the research reached several results: the study sample do not use the test map in the development of their tests, as their percentage reached (82%) and there are no statistically significant differences in the use of the specification table by the sample members according to their place of work or the number of years of experience. The results also revealed the most important reasons that prevent the use

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Publication Date
Fri Nov 09 2018
Journal Name
Iraqi National Journal Of Nursing Specialties
Construction of the School Physical Environment Standardized Features Tool
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Objective: A descriptive design, using the methodological approach, is carried throughout the present
study from April 1st 2012 to May 20th 2013 to construct the school physical environment standardized
features tool.
Methodology: An instrument of (141) item is constructed for the purpose of the study. A purposive
sample of (44) school; (22) public and (22) private ones is selected. Content Validity of the instrument is
determined through the use of panel of (11) expert who are specialists in Community Health Nursing and
Community Medicine. Internal consistency reliability, using the split-half technique, is employed through
the computation of Cronbach alpha correlation coefficient of (0.93) for internal scale. Data

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Publication Date
Thu Mar 01 2007
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Low Cost Hardware Back Propagation Algorithm
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The first successful implementation of Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) was published a little over a decade ago. It is time to review the progress that has been made in this research area. This paper provides taxonomy for classifying Field Programmable Gate Arrays (FPGAs) implementation of ANNs. Different implementation techniques and design issues are discussed, such as obtaining a suitable activation function and numerical truncation technique trade-off, the improvement of the learning algorithm to reduce the cost of neuron and in result the total cost and the total speed of the complete ANN. Finally, the implementation of a complete very fast circuit for the pattern of English Digit Numbers NN has four layers of 70 nodes (neurons) o

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 02 2022
Journal Name
جملة البحوث الرتبوية والنفسية
بناء مقياس التكيف العاطفي لدى اطفال الفروضة
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Publication Date
Tue Oct 01 2024
Journal Name
مجلة البحوث التربوية والنفسية
بناء اختبار مهارات القياس لدى طفل الروضة
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Publication Date
Wed Mar 30 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Using Quadratic Form Ratio Multiple Test to Estimate Linear Regression Model Parameters in Big Data with Application: Child Labor in Iraq
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              The current paper proposes a new estimator for the linear regression model parameters under Big Data circumstances.  From the diversity of Big Data variables comes many challenges that  can be interesting to the  researchers who try their best to find new and novel methods to estimate the parameters of linear regression model. Data has been collected by Central Statistical Organization IRAQ, and the child labor in Iraq has been chosen as data. Child labor is the most vital phenomena that both society and education are suffering from and it affects the future of our next generation. Two methods have been selected to estimate the parameter

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