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Building a Sustainable GARCH Model to Forecast Rubber Price: Modified Huber Weighting Function Approach
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The unstable and uncertain nature of natural rubber prices makes them highly volatile and prone to outliers, which can have a significant impact on both modeling and forecasting. To tackle this issue, the author recommends a hybrid model that combines the autoregressive (AR) and Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models. The model utilizes the Huber weighting function to ensure the forecast value of rubber prices remains sustainable even in the presence of outliers. The study aims to develop a sustainable model and forecast daily prices for a 12-day period by analyzing 2683 daily price data from Standard Malaysian Rubber Grade 20 (SMR 20) in Malaysia. The analysis incorporates two dispersion measurements (IQR/3 and Sn) and three levels of IO contamination 0%, 10%, and 20%. The results indicate that using the Huber weighting function with the IQR/3 measurement to build the AR(1)-GARCH(2,1) model leads to better sustainability. These findings have the potential to enhance the GARCH model by modifying the weighting function of the M-estimator

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Publication Date
Fri Jan 01 2021
Journal Name
Annals Of Tropical Medicine & Public Health
Assessment of Left Ventricular Function in Body builders using conventional echocardiography
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Background: Powerlifters and bodybuilders use anabolic androgenic steroids (AAS) especially – as many as 55 percent of elite powerlifters admitted using these agents. In contrast to numerous documented toxic and hormonal effects of AAS their impact on the structure and function of the left ventricular (LV) was not yet fully understood.

Publication Date
Thu Nov 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Comparison of Estimates Nonparametric In Multiple Regression Analysis Function (Gamma ,Beta)
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The use of non-parametric models and subsequent estimation methods requires that many of the initial conditions that must be met to represent those models of society under study are appropriate, prompting researchers to look for more flexible models, which are represented by non-parametric models                  

          In this study, the most important and most widespread estimations of the estimation of the nonlinear regression function were investigated using Nadaraya-Watson and Regression Local Ploynomial, which are one of the types of non-linear

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Publication Date
Tue Mar 01 2016
Journal Name
Al-academy
The Function of Comic Relieve in Shakespearean Tragedy: عباس فاضل عباس
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The comedian scenes which Shakespeare has entered in some of his tragedies(Hamlet, King Lear, and Macbeth), constantly the wrath of conservative critics and theorists of Western Drama, as big violation to Aristotle’s rules of tragedy that is forbidden to insert comedian scene in tragedy. Chapter one deals with the research problem, and its significance, purpose,Boarders and the definition of Comic Relieve. Chapter two comprises the theoretical framework which has displayed Arist-Otle’s conception about the imitation way of heroes characters between tragedy and comedy, the different function of catharsis in each one. Then the research has exposed the economical and theatrical activities in London during Elizabethan age which was looke

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Publication Date
Wed Jan 02 2019
Journal Name
Pramana
The description of quantum dielectric function for insulators over Bethe surface
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Publication Date
Thu Nov 21 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering
Thermal Buckling of Angle-Ply Laminated Plates Using New Displacement Function
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ABSTRACT

Critical buckling temperature of angle-ply laminated plate is developed using a higher-order displacement field. This displacement field used by Mantari et al based on a constant ‘‘m’’, which is determined to give results closest to the three dimensions elasticity (3-D) theory. Equations of motion based on higher-order theory angle ply plates are derived through Hamilton, s principle, and solved using Navier-type solution to obtain critical buckling temperature for simply supported laminated plates. Changing (α2/ α1) ratios, number of layers, aspect ratios, E1/E2 ratios for thick and thin plates and their effect on thermal

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Publication Date
Sat Sep 23 2023
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Pharmaceutical Sciences ( P-issn 1683 - 3597 E-issn 2521 - 3512)
Effect of pharmacist interventions on pulmonary function parameters of Iraqi asthmatic patients: A comparative study: Effect of pharmacist interventions on pulmonary functions tests
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Background: Despite the fact that asthma is a long-term disease that may be treated, many people are unable to control their symptoms due to a lack of knowledge about their condition. The study's purpose was to find out if a pharmacist intervention improved asthma management because of this.

Objective: this study designed to assess the effect of pharmaceutical care on pulmonary functions test.

Method: The study was completed in three months. The patients who were enrolled were divided into two groups: Group 1 consists of 23 asthma patients who were randomly assigned to receive conventional therapy for chronic bronchial asthma based on disease stage and se

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Publication Date
Sun Sep 03 2023
Journal Name
مجلة درااست دولية
بناء الدولة في الفكر السياسي لجون راولز
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تعد مسالة بناء الدولة احدة المواضيع المهمة في حقل الدراسات السياسية والتي تعكس مظهراً متعدد الابعاد لمبدأ الثقة المنشود بين الحاكم والمحكوم، فمنذ أمد طويل تحاول الدول تحقيق تنميتها السياسية والبحث عن مقومات ترشيد سياسي لقدراتها المؤسساتية والوظيفية بهدف تعزيز اسس التكامل والاندماج بين المجتمع السياسي والمجتمع المدني. عليه انطلق جون راولز في مفهومه لبناء الدولة المعاصرة من بناء المجتمع العادل، فالعدالة ه

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Publication Date
Wed Jan 02 2008
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
اشكالية بناء ثقافة مشاركة في الوطن العربي
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اشكالية بناء ثقافة مشاركة في الوطن العربي

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Publication Date
Thu Mar 01 2007
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Low Cost Hardware Back Propagation Algorithm
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The first successful implementation of Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) was published a little over a decade ago. It is time to review the progress that has been made in this research area. This paper provides taxonomy for classifying Field Programmable Gate Arrays (FPGAs) implementation of ANNs. Different implementation techniques and design issues are discussed, such as obtaining a suitable activation function and numerical truncation technique trade-off, the improvement of the learning algorithm to reduce the cost of neuron and in result the total cost and the total speed of the complete ANN. Finally, the implementation of a complete very fast circuit for the pattern of English Digit Numbers NN has four layers of 70 nodes (neurons) o

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Publication Date
Sun Oct 01 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
Construction Bullying scale for Kindergarten child
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Construction of photographed bullying scale of kindergarteners was the aim of this study. The study conducted to answer the raised question, could the bullying among kindergarteners be measured?. A total of (200) boy and girl were selected from city of Baghdad to be the sample of the study. The scale composed of (27) item with colored pictures. It takes about (15) minuets to answer the whole scale items. SPSS tools were used to process the collected data. The result showed that the bullying among kindergarteners could be measured.

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