Artificial Neural networks (ANN) are powerful and effective tools in time-series applications. The first aim of this paper is to diagnose better and more efficient ANN models (Back Propagation, Radial Basis Function Neural networks (RBF), and Recurrent neural networks) in solving the linear and nonlinear time-series behavior. The second aim is dealing with finding accurate estimators as the convergence sometimes is stack in the local minima. It is one of the problems that can bias the test of the robustness of the ANN in time series forecasting. To determine the best or the optimal ANN models, forecast Skill (SS) employed to measure the efficiency of the performance of ANN models. The mean square error and the absolute mean square error were also used to measure the accuracy of the estimation for methods used. The important result obtained in this paper is that the optimal neural network was the Backpropagation (BP) and Recurrent neural networks (RNN) to solve time series, whether linear, semilinear, or non-linear. Besides, the result proved that the inefficiency and inaccuracy (failure) of RBF in solving nonlinear time series. However, RBF shows good efficiency in the case of linear or semi-linear time series only. It overcomes the problem of local minimum. The results showed improvements in the modern methods for time series forecasting.
The Regression analysis is considered as a basic element of statistics science elements, and it is an important style of applied statistics when studying different social and economical phenomena. As well as it is considered the most statistical method used in different sciences and fields, and it determines in clear picture the relations among the variables in the form of equation replaced from the degree of parametric on the strength and the importance of this relationship .And ;also it repots the degree of prediction and response ;also ,it is necessary in regression planning and making decisions for finding regression equation .And it is one of modern styles which tak observable caring especially in artificial neural networks. Our main
... Show Moreمثل الوعي الطبقي اعلى مراحله لدى الفكر الماركسي المعاصر عند كل من روزا لوكسمبورغ وانطونيو غرامشي، ليس مجرد انعكاس للواقع وانما يكون بصورة جدلية من طريق انعكاس الوعي على الواقع وإعادة انتاجه فبعد ان كان الوعي هو نتاج تطور الواقع اصبح أداة في تطوير الواقع، أي تأثير البنى الفوقية في البنى التحتية (المادية التاريخية) وعدت ان الوعي الطبقي الثوري يتحقق بشكل عفوي، وبذور انطلاقة هي الاضرابات الجماهيرية، وأنكرت دور
... Show Moreمثل الوعي الطبقي اعلى مراحله لدى الفكر الماركسي الحديث عند كل من ماركس وانجلز ولينين ليس مجرد انعكاس للواقع وانما يكون بصورة جدلية من خلال انعكاس الوعي على الواقع واعادة انتاجه فبعد ان كان الوعي هو نتاج تطور الواقع اصبح اداة في تطوير الواقع، أي تأثير البنى الفوقية على البنى التحتية( المادية التاريخية) بعكس ما دعى اليه ماركس، اذ أعطى لينين للوعي دوراً كبيرا في التطور التاريخي، وعد الوعي الطبقي هو الاداة التي
... Show MoreOften there is no well drilling without problems. The solution lies in managing and evaluating these problems and developing strategies to manage and scale them. Non-productive time (NPT) is one of the main causes of delayed drilling operations. Many events or possibilities can lead to a halt in drilling operations or a marginal decrease in the advancement of drilling, this is called (NPT). Reducing NPT has an important impact on the total expenditure, time and cost are considered one of the most important success factors in the oil industry. In other words, steps must be taken to investigate and eliminate loss of time, that is, unproductive time in the drilling rig in order to save time and cost and reduce wasted time. The data of
... Show More<abstract><p>Many variations of the algebraic Riccati equation (ARE) have been used to study nonlinear system stability in the control domain in great detail. Taking the quaternion nonsymmetric ARE (QNARE) as a generalized version of ARE, the time-varying QNARE (TQNARE) is introduced. This brings us to the main objective of this work: finding the TQNARE solution. The zeroing neural network (ZNN) technique, which has demonstrated a high degree of effectiveness in handling time-varying problems, is used to do this. Specifically, the TQNARE can be solved using the high order ZNN (HZNN) design, which is a member of the family of ZNN models that correlate to hyperpower iterative techniques. As a result, a novel
... Show MoreIn this paper a dynamic behavior and control of a jacketed continuous stirred tank reactor (CSTR) is developed using different control strategies, conventional feedback control (PI and PID), and neural network (NARMA-L2, and NN Predictive) control. The dynamic model for CSTR process is described by a first order lag system with dead time.
The optimum tuning of control parameters are found by two different methods; Frequency Analysis Curve method (Bode diagram) and Process Reaction Curve using the mean of Square Error (MSE) method. It is found that the Process Reaction Curve method is better than the Frequency Analysis Curve method and PID feedback controller is better than PI feedback controller.
The results s
... Show More