Preferred Language
Articles
/
bsj-4606
A Modified Approach by Using Prediction to Build a Best Threshold in ARX Model with Practical Application
...Show More Authors

The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in determining the best seasonal model. Then they are compared with the obtained models from two methods that mentioned above of the two approaches within a group of the criteria as AIC, MDL, Loss Function, BIC, FPE, MSE, in addition the proposed weighted comparison criteria to determine the best model for representing the wind speed data as input variable, soil and dust as an output variable, in Baghdad Station from January 1956 to December 2012.

Scopus Clarivate Crossref
View Publication Preview PDF
Quick Preview PDF
Publication Date
Sat Apr 15 2023
Journal Name
History Of Medicine
Assessment of Alpha-Fetoprotein in Cerebrospinal Fluid, Plasma and Its Correlation to Some Biochemical Parameters in New Born with Congenital Hydrocephalus
...Show More Authors

ATAW Eqbal Abdul Ameer'. Shifaa Jameel Ibrahim?, HISTORY Of MEDICINE, 2023

View Publication
Publication Date
Wed Aug 27 2025
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
A Clustering Technique Based on the Hard K-Means (H.KM.) Method to Determine the Governorate That Have More Influence for Spreading COVID-19 in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
...Show More Authors

View Publication
Scopus Clarivate Crossref
Publication Date
Fri Jul 31 2020
Journal Name
Iraqi Geological Journal
APPLICATION OF TRIANGLES METHOD FOR QUANTITATIVE ESTIMATION OF MARL RESERVE IN EUPHRATES FORMATION, MIDDLE OF IRAQ
...Show More Authors

View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref (2)
Crossref
Publication Date
Thu Apr 03 2025
Journal Name
Engineering, Technology & Applied Science Research
Application of the One-Step Second-Derivative Method for Solving the Transient Distribution in Markov Chain
...Show More Authors

Markov chains are an application of stochastic models in operation research, helping the analysis and optimization of processes with random events and transitions. The method that will be deployed to obtain the transient solution to a Markov chain problem is an important part of this process. The present paper introduces a novel Ordinary Differential Equation (ODE) approach to solve the Markov chain problem. The probability distribution of a continuous-time Markov chain with an infinitesimal generator at a given time is considered, which is a resulting solution of the Chapman-Kolmogorov differential equation. This study presents a one-step second-derivative method with better accuracy in solving the first-order Initial Value Problem

... Show More
View Publication
Scopus Crossref
Publication Date
Sun Dec 01 2013
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Construction of New Ion Selective Electrodes for Determination Fe(III) and Their Application in Pharmaceutical samples
...Show More Authors

Liquid membrane electrodes for the determination iron(III) were constructed based on chloramphenicol sodium succinate and iron(III) CPSS-Fe(III) as ion pair complex, with four plasticizers Di-butyl phosphate (DBP); Di-butyl phthalate (DBPH); Di-octyl phthalate (DOP); Tri-butyl phosphate (TBP); in PVC matrix . These electrodes give Nernstian and sub-Nernstian slopes (19.79, 24.60, 16.01 and 13.82mV/decade) and linear ranges from (1x10-5-1x10-2 M, 1x10-5-1x10-2 M, 1x10-6-1x10-2 M and 1x10-5-1x10-2 M) respectively. The best electrode was based on DBP plasticizer which gave a slope 19.79 mV/decade, correlation coefficient 0.9999, detection limit of 9×10-6 M, lifetime 37 day displayed good stability and reproducibility and used to determine

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Mon Oct 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Reflection of applying the requirement of IFRS 9 regards impairment of Banks loans on earning management in Iraqi Banks
...Show More Authors

Impairment of financial assets defined according to IFRS 9 as the difference between all contractual cash flows that are due to an entity in accordance with the contract and all the cash flows that the entity expects to receive, the entity should estimates all the cash flows through looking to the contract terms during the life time period of the assets or for shorter period if possible, the cash flow should include the amounts of selling any collateral taken or any other enhancement. On the other hand, the Central bank of Iraq guidelines regards impairment differ from the IFRS 9 that’s does not consider the collateral value on calculating the impairment that’s effects on the net profit through recognizing exaggerated loss an

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Sun Jul 06 2014
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
أثر طريقة حل المشكلات في التحصيل لدى طالبات الصف الرابع الإعدادي في مادة التربية الاسلامية
...Show More Authors

The researcher identified the objective of this research Do you know the impact of the way to solve problems in the achievement of the students in the fourth grade prep Islamic Education, and the researcher has identified the limits of the search, and the terms contained in the title researched and then offered the researcher previous studies relate to the subject studied, introduced Studies in Arab and foreign countries dealt with how to solve problems, the researcher identified the methodology discussed public represented by experimental method, and the sample consisted of two groups, one experimental and the other officer, and worked on the set of variables that may affect the results between the two groups in vkavot changers task, th

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Thu Jun 28 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The literature of the teacher and learner is a study in the light of “Holly Quran
...Show More Authors

Praise be to Allah, Lord of the Worlds, teach the pen, taught the human what he didn't know, Ihmad - Almighty - and thank him, and repent to him and ask forgiveness, which is the most forgiving, and bear witness that there is no god but Allah alone has no partner, gives and prevents, And I bear witness that Muhammad is  a slave to Allah  and his Messenger, who called for guidance and good speech and spoke, peace be upon him and his family and companions, and those who followed them until the Day of Judgment.

View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Mon Feb 04 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The Unque Necklace ; ( Al – Iqd Al – Farid) ; A Reading in the Light of Speech Acts Theory
...Show More Authors

Summed up the idea of this research in an attempt to find the establishment of the knowledge convergence to show the features of verbal acts that occurred a prime location in the lesson deliberative theory book unique contract ( IbnAbdRabbaAndalusian ) to prove that Arabic was the old literary studies included many of the features of this theory in both theoretical and practical

View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Tue Sep 01 2009
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Determine the optimal decision in the process of production planning usingDynamic programming style
...Show More Authors

The operation of production planning is a difficult operation and it's required High effect and large time especially it is dynamic activity which it's basic variables change in continuous with the time, for this reason it needs using one of the operation research manner (Dynamic programming) which has a force in the decision making process in the planning and control on the production and its direct affect on the cost of production operation and control on the inventory.

View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref