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bsj-4606
A Modified Approach by Using Prediction to Build a Best Threshold in ARX Model with Practical Application
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The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in determining the best seasonal model. Then they are compared with the obtained models from two methods that mentioned above of the two approaches within a group of the criteria as AIC, MDL, Loss Function, BIC, FPE, MSE, in addition the proposed weighted comparison criteria to determine the best model for representing the wind speed data as input variable, soil and dust as an output variable, in Baghdad Station from January 1956 to December 2012.

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Publication Date
Sun May 11 2025
Journal Name
Journal Of Information Systems Engineering And Management
The Effect of the Learning Mastery Strategy using Interactive Learning Techniques as a Therapeutic Method on the Achievement of Secondary School Students in Mathematics
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  The current research aims to identify the effect of the learning mastery strategy using interactive learning as a therapeutic method on the achievement of secondary school students in mathematics. To achieve the research objective, the researcher selected second-grade middle school students at Al-Haybah Intermediate School for Boys and determined his research sample, which consisted of (77) students distributed into two sections: Section (A) the experimental group, with (38) students, and Section (B) the control group, with (39) students. The statistical equivalence of the two research sample groups was confirmed in the variables (intelligence test, previous achievement, and previous knowledge test). The researchers chose the par

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Publication Date
Tue Sep 13 2022
Journal Name
جامعة بغداد/ كلية التربية للعلوم الصرفة - ابن الهيثم
اثر انموذج تسريع التعلم في تحصيل مادة الرياضياتوالتفكير المحوري لدى طالبات الصف الثالث المتوسط
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Publication Date
Tue Mar 31 2020
Journal Name
مجلة العلوم النفسية
اثر انموذج التفكير النشط في تحصيل طلاب الصف الثاني المتوسط لمادة العلوم وتفكيرهم البصري
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ان الهدف من هذا البحث هو التعرف على أثر انموذج التفكير النشط في تحصيل طلاب الصف الثاني المتوسط لمادة العلوم و تفـكيرهم البصري. تكونت عينة البحث من (58) طالباً، يتوزعون بين مجموعتين احدهما تجريبية و اخرى ضابطة. تم اعداد اداتين مقننتين احداهما لقياس التحصيل والاخرى لقياس التفــكير البصري، وبعد تطبيق تجربة البحث والحصول على البيانات، التي تمت معالجتها احصائيا باستخدام البرنامج الاحصائي(SPSS)؛ كشفت النتائج عن تفوق

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Publication Date
Mon Oct 09 2023
Journal Name
Nasaq
A Critical Formalistic Reading in Emily Dickinson’s I felt a Funeral, in my Brain and T.S.Eliot’s The Love Song of J. Alfred Prufrock
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A CRITICAL OVERVIEW IN SELECTED POEMS

Publication Date
Sat Nov 30 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering And Applied Sciences
Using Particle Swarm Optimization Algorithm to Address the Multicollinearity Problem
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Publication Date
Wed Apr 01 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Using Resource Consumption Accounting to determine Customer Cost of Banks
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The Purpose of this Research show gap between a Normal Cost System and Resource consumption Accounting Applied in AL-Rafidin Bank.

The Research explores that, how the idle capacity can be determined under resource consumption accounting, discuss the possibility of employing these energies. Research also viewed how costs can be separated into Committee and Attribute. Resource Consumption Accounting assists managers in pricing services or products based on what these services or products use from each Source.

This Research has been proven

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 01 2023
Journal Name
Lecture Notes In Networks And Systems
Using Artificial Intelligence and Metaverse Techniques to Reduce Earning Management
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This study aims to demonstrate the role of artificial intelligence and metaverse techniques, mainly logistical Regression, in reducing earnings management in Iraqi private banks. Synthetic intelligence approaches have shown the capability to detect irregularities in financial statements and mitigate the practice of earnings management. In contrast, many privately owned banks in Iraq historically relied on manual processes involving pen and paper for recording and posting financial information in their accounting records. However, the banking sector in Iraq has undergone technological advancements, leading to the Automation of most banking operations. Conventional audit techniques have become outdated due to factors such as the accuracy of d

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Publication Date
Sun May 01 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering
Numerical Investigation Using Harmonic and Transient Analysis To Rotor Dynamics
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The rotor dynamics generally deals with vibration of rotating structures. For designing rotors of a high speeds, basically its important to take into account the rotor dynamics characteristics. The modeling features for rotor and bearings support flexibility are described in this paper, by taking these characteristics of rotor dynamics features into standard Finite Element Approach (FEA) model. Transient and harmonic analysis procedures have been found by ANSYS, the idea has been presented to deal with critical speed calculation. This papers shows how elements BEAM188 and COMBI214 are used to represent the shaft and bearings, the dynamic stiffness and damping coefficients of journal bearings as a matrices have been found

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Publication Date
Sat Oct 01 2022
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Using some Natural Minerals to Remove Cadmium from Polluted Water
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Water scarcity is one of the most important problems facing humanity in various fields such as economics, industry, agriculture, and tourism. This may push people to use low-quality water like industrial-wastewater. The application of some chemical compounds to get rid of heavy metals such as cadmium is an environmentally harmful approach. It is well-known that heavy metals as cadmium may induce harmful problems when present in water and invade to soil, plants and food chain of a human being. In this case, man will be forced to use the low quality water in irrigation. Application of natural materials instead of chemicals to remove cadmium from polluted water is an environmental friendly approach. Attention was drawn in this research wor

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Publication Date
Sun Jun 30 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The impact of strategic planning for electronic services to developing cash bank deposits: An Applied research for a sample of Iraqi private banks
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               The bank deposits is fuel banking activity and raw material products for the commercial bank and the basis of its activity and its lifetime So the bank, which seeks to continue the successful development of the volume of cash deposits has translated the work of the bank to meet the needs of different sectors by providing the necessary funding, and from this point of view was the research problem a lack of interest departments of banking services to commercial banks as a means for the development of electronic cash deposits have, and which represents the basis for the supplier commercial bank fund.

 

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