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bsj-4606
A Modified Approach by Using Prediction to Build a Best Threshold in ARX Model with Practical Application
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The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in determining the best seasonal model. Then they are compared with the obtained models from two methods that mentioned above of the two approaches within a group of the criteria as AIC, MDL, Loss Function, BIC, FPE, MSE, in addition the proposed weighted comparison criteria to determine the best model for representing the wind speed data as input variable, soil and dust as an output variable, in Baghdad Station from January 1956 to December 2012.

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Publication Date
Wed May 03 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Physical Education
تأثير تمرينات علاجية في تحسين مرونة الجذع وانعكاسها على آلام اسفل الظهر لذوي الاعاقة البدنية
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Publication Date
Fri Apr 12 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The Compatibility between leadership of empowerment and organizational learning abilities and their reflection on knowledge capital Applied research at Wasit University
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The current research aims at: - Identifying the role played by the leadership in empowerment and organizational learning abilities and their reflection on the knowledge capital, and the extent to which these concepts can be applied effectively at Wasit University. The problem of research .... In a series of questions: The most important is that the dimensions leadership empowerment and distance learning organizational capacity correlation relationship and impact and significant statistical significance with the capital knowledge.

     To understand the nature of the relationship and the impact between the variables, leadership was adopted by empowerment as the fir

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Publication Date
Mon Mar 07 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
The Level of Administrative Work Quality of Private Schools Principals at Southern Governorates of Palestine form the Teachers Point of View
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The study aimed at identifying the level of administrative work quality of private Schools principals at Southern Governorates of Palestine from the teachers' point of view in their schools. To achieve the objectives of this research, a questionnaire was prepared by the researcher consisted of (28) items. It was applied to a sample of (350) teachers. The researcher adopted the descriptive-analytical approach. The results of the study showed that the degree to which principals of private schools in the southern governorates of Palestine practice Administrative Work Quality from the viewpoint of their teachers was very high, with relative weight (85.00%). The results also showed that there are statistically significant differences at the l

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Publication Date
Wed Nov 14 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
التحديات التحديات المعاصرة للثقافة الإسلامية دراسة في الصورة النمطية المتبادلة للسلام وللحرب بين الإسلام والغرب
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Islamic Culture face many challenges Such as، Secularism، westrenism، globalism and Colonialism under current attempts For western States and united states of America to dominate on world and Confront all her Opponent Polaris it be clear when U. S. A. Occupied Afghanistan and Iraq and Threatened many Arabic and Islamic States

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 02 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
تقويم جودة مهارات التدريس لدى مدرسي الرياضيات في المرحلة الإعدادية الفرع العلمي من وجهة نظرهم
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   Research aims at evaluating the quality of the teaching skills of math teachers in junior high / scientific branch  from their point of view.

The researchers prepared for this purpose a quality of teaching skills standards questionnaire, It consisted of 72 items distributed on four axis, The research sample was 200 teachers The researchers used statistical methods: the arithmetic mean, standard deviation, variance test, test Shiva  , The results showed a statistically significance difference Attributed to the qualification  variable  in the second  axis (Planning for teaching topics) And the absence of statistical difference function,

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Publication Date
Thu Nov 16 2023
Journal Name
مجلة كلية الإمام الكاظم
الوعي بالمسؤوليةً البيئيـة عنـد طلبـة الكيـمياء فـي كــلية التـربية للعلـوم الصـرفة – أبن الهيثم في العراق
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Publication Date
Wed Oct 01 2014
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Organizational Structure Analysis Via the dimension of the Organic synthesis
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The study focused on the identification of the natural relation between the organizational components, and the most important is the organizational structure, which not hid its effect on each function and operation of the organizational structure through commanding the individual craters and its forms according to the requirement of these function, also it has relation with an organic synthesis that between the dimensions of the organic synthesis and the practice side in the commission of Integrity.

The problem of the research pensioned in some questions about hypothesis and theoretical parts, in which they go a mention about the hypothesis questions is to use all the knowledge's in this atmosphere and th

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Publication Date
Mon Aug 01 2022
Journal Name
مجلة الجامعة العراقية
المكتبة الاسلامية الرقمية مشروع صناعة مكتبة رقمية للطالب في قسم علوم القران الكريم والتربية الإسلامية
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تهدف الورقة البحثية الى اعداد مشروع لصناعة مكتبة رقمية للطالب في قسم علوم القران الكريم والتربية االسالمية في كلية التربية ابن رشد للعلوم االنسانية / جامعة بغداد ، اعدت الباحثة استمارة نموذج كوكل تضمنت مجموعة من االسئلة الغرض منها تحديد المؤلفات االساسية التي يحتاجها طالب العلوم االسالمية في دراساته وابحاثه ،واعتمدت الباحثة على المنهج الوصفي اسلوب المسح لجمع البيانات ، ووزعت االستمارة عبر الصفوف االلكترو

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Publication Date
Tue Dec 01 2009
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Measuring the impact of interest rates on the movement of international financial flows (Japan case study) for the period 1985-2005
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يعد الاقتصاد الياباني احد اكبر الاقتصادات الرأسمالية المتقدمة ويحتل المرتبة الثالثة بعد الاقتصاد الأمريكي واقتصاد الاتحاد الاوربي من حيث حجم الناتج المحلي الإجمالي والذي يكاد يقترب من (5) تريليون دولار سنويا.

لقد ادت التطورات المتلاحقة التي شهدها الاقتصاد العالمي وخاصة في حقل التمويل الدولي خلال العشرين سنة الاخيرة الى تصاعد وارتفاع في حجم وحركه رؤوس الاموال الدولية على اوسع نطاق بحيث ا

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Publication Date
Sat Dec 01 2007
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
استعمال أنموذج (Altman) للإفلاس دالة لقياس الأداء دراسة تطبيقية في بعض الشركات المساهمة الخاصة العراقية
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Performance measures are a central component of management control system, making good planning and control decisions requires information about how different subunits of organizations have performed. To be effective, performance measures (both financial and nonfinancial) must also motivate managers and employees at all levels of organization to strive to achieve organization goals.

To give aclear picture about performance must be used compound measure, that was best than single measure.

Altman model can be used as a compound performance measure that measures the performance by tied a sum of variables, due to make weight for every variable to reach for performance.

 

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