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bsj-4606
A Modified Approach by Using Prediction to Build a Best Threshold in ARX Model with Practical Application
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The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in determining the best seasonal model. Then they are compared with the obtained models from two methods that mentioned above of the two approaches within a group of the criteria as AIC, MDL, Loss Function, BIC, FPE, MSE, in addition the proposed weighted comparison criteria to determine the best model for representing the wind speed data as input variable, soil and dust as an output variable, in Baghdad Station from January 1956 to December 2012.

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Publication Date
Mon Jun 01 2015
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
ES’AT NAİB’İN “ZAMANIN ELİ” ADLI DİVANINDA İSİM ÇEKİM EKLERİ (Karşılaştırmalı İnceleme)
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Irak Türk ağızları Azeri Türkçesinin bir uzantısı olarak değerlendirilir.Kerkük Türkçesiyle yazılan edebi ürünler, Irak Türkçesinin tamamını ifade etmek üzere kullanılmaktadır. Zamanın Eli divanı Kerkük Türkçesile yazılan bir eserdir. Bu yüzden bu divanı seçtik ve Irak Türkmen Türkçesi , Osmanlı Türkçesi ve Türkiye Türkçesi dilleri arasında  karşılaştırmalı bir inceleme yaptık.

Bu araştırma, Irak Türkmen şairlerinden birisi  sayılan  Es’at Naib’in  şiirleri üzerinde uygulamalı bir çalışmadanoluşmaktadır. Bu çalışmada adı geçen şairin “Zamanın Eli” Divanından bazışiirlerini önce yeni Türkçeye çevirdik vedaha sonra isim ç

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Publication Date
Thu Oct 25 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Planner And Development
نظام الفعالية السكنية ومستوى الضوضاء الحالة الدراسية:- منطقة سكنية في مدينة اربيل/ منطقة راستي الجديدة
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Publication Date
Sun Mar 15 2020
Journal Name
Al-academy
Formal Data of Bauhaus School and their Implications for Fabrics and Costumes Design: نور منصور خميس-وسن خليل ابراهيم
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The current research discusses the topic of the formal data within the methodological framework through defining the research problem, limits and objectives and defining the most important terms mentioned in this research. The theoretical framework in the first section addressed (the concept of the Bauhaus school, the philosophy of the Bauhaus school and the logical bases of this school). The second section dealt with (the most important elements and structural bases of the Bauhaus school) which are considered the most important formal data of this school and their implications on the fabrics and costumes design. The research came up with the most important indicators resulting from the theoretical framework.
Chapter three defined the

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Publication Date
Tue Dec 01 2009
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Measuring the impact of interest rates on the movement of international financial flows (Japan case study) for the period 1985-2005
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يعد الاقتصاد الياباني احد اكبر الاقتصادات الرأسمالية المتقدمة ويحتل المرتبة الثالثة بعد الاقتصاد الأمريكي واقتصاد الاتحاد الاوربي من حيث حجم الناتج المحلي الإجمالي والذي يكاد يقترب من (5) تريليون دولار سنويا.

لقد ادت التطورات المتلاحقة التي شهدها الاقتصاد العالمي وخاصة في حقل التمويل الدولي خلال العشرين سنة الاخيرة الى تصاعد وارتفاع في حجم وحركه رؤوس الاموال الدولية على اوسع نطاق بحيث ا

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Publication Date
Sun Oct 04 2009
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
أثر إستراتيجية الملخصات القبلية على التحصيل الدراسي لطالبات الصف الثالث المتوسط في مادة التربية الأسرية
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لقد أدت التطورات العلمية والتقنية وتطبيقاتها العملية في مختلف ميادين الحياة بشكل عام وميدان التربية والتعليم بشكل خاص إلى ظهور تغيرات في البناء التعليمي وطرائق التدريس بصيغتها الحديثة التي تنسجم في مجملها وروح العصر مما دعى المؤسسات التربوية والتعليمية وبإيعاز إلى الباحثين والمهتمين بهذا الميدان الى ضرورة متابعة الاتجاهات الحديثة ونواحي التجديد لمحتوى العملية التعليمية فيما يتعلق بالمجالات المعر

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Publication Date
Sun Jul 03 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
الارهاب وتداعياتة على الامن والسلم الاجتماعي (دراسة ميدانية للعوائل المتضررة من الارهاب في مدينة بغداد )
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     تعد ظاهرة الارهاب المتزايدة في العالم من اخطر اشكال التهديدات الامنية التي تواجة الدول لانها تستهدف في جانب مهم منها امن واستقرارومستقبل مجتمعاتها لاسيما اذا جمع الفعل الارهابي بين مطامع واهداف القوى الخارجية التي لا تريد استخدام ادواتها المباشرة وانما بالاعتماد على                   محركات في خلق الازمات داخل الدول المستهدفة

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Publication Date
Mon Dec 01 2008
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
إيجاد الحل المقبول (الممكن) والأمثل لأنموذج البرمجة الخطية في ظل عدم تحقق شرطّي الإمكانية والأمثلية
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تعد البرمجة الخطية عاملاً مؤثراً وفعالاً في عملية صنع و إتخاذ القرار عندما تكون الموارد متاحة أو متوفرة لكي تعطي أهدافاً معينة ، وتكمن البرمجة الخطية في حل وتقييم الانشطة أو الفعاليات عند تطبيق إحدى أدواتها وهي الطريقة المبسطة العامة ، التي يكون فيها الحل مقبولاً (ممكناً) ويجب التوصل الى الحل الامثل عندها تسمى بالطريقة المبسطة الاولية أو يكون الحل فيها أمثلاً ويجب التوصل الى الحل الم

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 07 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
The Impact of the Sowt Strategy on the Development of Systemic Intelligence among Students of the Ibn Rushd College of Education for the Humanities
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The aim of the current research is to identify the impact of the SWOT strategy on developing systemic intelligence among students of the Ibn Rushd College of Education for Human Sciences University of Baghdad / College of Education Ibn Rushd for Human Sciences. The current research community consists of (8590) male and female students, divided into (7) departments. The current research relied on one of the partial control designs, which is the design of non-random groups: experimental group and a control group with a pre and post-test. As for the research tool, It was represented by Tourmanin’s Systemic Intelligence Scale (2012) of (50) items that measure the eight components of systemic intelligence. The results of the Mann Whitney te

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Publication Date
Sat Dec 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Reflection of innovative marketing skills on the broad recommendation Survey Research at Asia Telecom- Iraq
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The research aims at clarifying the relationship between innovative marketing skills and broad recommendation as a vital and important issue for organizations in general and service organizations in particular to demonstrate how innovative marketing skills contribute to broad adoption and to determine the relationship between interdependence and the impact of innovative marketing skills on the broad recommendation. Some questions are posed by the research problem. Is there a clear awareness among individuals in the company about the concept of marketing marketing skills and how do innovative marketing skills affect the broad recommendation of the surveyed company? How innovative marketing skills relate to the broad recommendation

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Publication Date
Tue Apr 01 2008
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
أثر أستراتيجية الملخصات القبلية على التحصيل والاستبقاء لدى طالبات الصف الثاني متوسط في مادة التاريخ
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Research problem: the problem of the current research can determine the dimensions of answering the following question - What is the impact of the use strategy summaries tribal collection and retention in the second grade students in the middle of history?
The importance of research: In order to achieve the desired education and access to educational goals required, and to address all the challenges facing the educational process, so you may need to use methods and different educational methods in the teaching of social history, particularly, of those methods and modalities to adopt strategies tribal in teaching, has chosen researcher summaries tribal style, which is one of the strategies of goo

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