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bsj-4606
A Modified Approach by Using Prediction to Build a Best Threshold in ARX Model with Practical Application
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The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in determining the best seasonal model. Then they are compared with the obtained models from two methods that mentioned above of the two approaches within a group of the criteria as AIC, MDL, Loss Function, BIC, FPE, MSE, in addition the proposed weighted comparison criteria to determine the best model for representing the wind speed data as input variable, soil and dust as an output variable, in Baghdad Station from January 1956 to December 2012.

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Publication Date
Mon Mar 07 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
The Effectiveness of Teaching impact of the Reflex Learning Strategy on the Fifth Class Female Student Achievement of the Geography Content Material
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 The research aimed to find the effectiveness of teaching impact of the reflex learning strategy on the fifth class female student achievement of the geography content material). The researcher adopted the null hypotheses (there are no statistically significant differences at (0,05) level between the women score mean of the experimental group student who has been taught by the cement material assigned by the reflex learning strategy, and that of the control group who have been taught by the traditional method on the achievement test. The researcher adopted the post-test experimental design to measure students’ achievement. The population of the present study has been limited to the fifth literary class female stud

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Publication Date
Tue Feb 01 2022
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Milk Tumor Necrosis Factor Alpha and Interleukin-1Beta Among Toxoplasma gondii-Free and Infected Women
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Pro-inflammatory cytokines play an important role in intercellular communications. In the last two decades, many cytokines have been identified in human milk. These cytokines are variable according to different conditions such as pathogenic infections which strongly stimulated the immune response. The present study aims to determine of IL1β and TNF-α in Toxoplasma gondii-free and infected women in an attempt to clarify the impacts of the infections on cytokines especially in mother's milk. The serum and milk sample were collected from 96 samples (48 for seropositive and 48 for seronegative). To confirm the Toxoplasma gondii infection; enzyme linked immunofluorescence assay (ELIFA) was used to detect anti-Toxoplasma Ig

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Publication Date
Tue Dec 01 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The effect of liquidity on the profitability and value of banks listed on Iraq stock market (An analytical study)
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  The purpose of the study is to analyze the extent of the impact of liquidity as an independent variable on profitability as an intermediate variable and the value of banks listed in the Iraq Stock Exchange as a dependent variable, as the research problem is summarized by the fact that most banks focus on profitability as a phased goal without focusing on maximizing its value as a strategic goal by enhancing the wealth of owners and shareholders. On the long term, the research community is represented by the banks listed on the Iraq Stock Exchange, while the research sample was deliberately chosen, which included three private banks such as Baghdad Commercial Bank, the Iraqi Commercial Bank and the Iraqi Investment Bank, an

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Publication Date
Sun Apr 03 2011
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
اثر الانموذج المعملي في تصحيح المفاهيم الرياضية شائعة الخطأ لدى طلاب الصف الاول المتوسط
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ملخص الدراسة
سعت الدراسة تعرف اثراستعمال الأنموذج المعملي في تصحيح المفاهيم الرياضية شائعة الخطأ لدى طلاب الصف الأول المتوسط بالإجابة عن السؤال "ما اثر استعمال الأنموذج المعملي في تصحيح المفاهيم الرياضية شائعة الخطأ لدى طلاب الصف الأول المتوسط" ولتحقيق هدف الدراسة وضعت الفرضية الصفرية "لايوجد فرق ذو دلالة إحصائية عند مستوى الدلالة (0.05) بين متوسطي درجات طلاب المجموعة التجريبية الذين يدرسون المادة المقرر

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 04 2024
Journal Name
المكتب العربي للمعارف
إدراة الصراع بين القوى الإقليمية في آسيا بعد 2011 (الصين والهند وروسيا واليابان )انموذجاً
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تعيش قارة آسيا حالة فريدة تكاد تقترب من حالة أوروبا قبل الحرب العالمية الثانية، فالقارة حاليا تحتوي على العديد من القوى الإقليمية الفاعلة أبرزها الصين وروسيا والهند واليابان، أما القوى الإقليمية الفاعلة في نطاق نظمها الإقليمية الفرعية نجد من أهمها الكوريتين (الشمالية والجنوبية)، وباكستان، وإيران وغيرها، ووجه الاختلاف عن أوروبا هو أن آسيا منطقة شاسعة جغرافياً، وكل نظام إقليمي فرعي فيها هو نظام قاري بحد ذات

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Publication Date
Wed Jul 01 2015
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
Methods of Arab TV Programs Production
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This research investigates the methods of producing Investigative Arabic Television Programs that are able to prove its existence during a short period of time as a form of Television programs on Arab satellite channels growing in number and varied in content. The research aims to present qualitative and quantitative descriptions of the methods used in tackling the topics discussed in the program, and knowing whether they satisfy the conditions and scientific foundations for the research, investigation, analysis, and interpretation. The researcher uses the survey method and uses the tool of content analysis including a set of methodological steps that seek to discover the implied meaning of the research sample represented by the program

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Publication Date
Fri Feb 01 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The impact of organizational learning capabilities on the promotion of knowledge capital Applied research at Wasit University
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Abstract

      The current research aims at identifying any of the dimensions of organizational learning abilities that are more influential in the knowledge capital of the university and the extent to which they can be applied effectively at Wasit University. The current research dealt with organizational learning abilities as an explanatory variable in four dimensions (Experimentation and openness, sharing and transfer of knowledge, dialogue, interaction with the external environment ), and knowledge capital as a transient variable, with four dimensions (human capital, structural capital, client capital, operational capital). The problem of research is the following questio

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Publication Date
Sun Apr 01 2007
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
القدرة على القيادة التربوية وعلاقتها بالاتجاه العلمي لدى رؤساء الاقسام في بعض الجامعات العراقية
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مشكلة البحث :

تعد الادارة الجامعية عاملا مهما واساسيا في اكمال البناء المعرفي لشخصية الطالب الجامعي لما يمثله من قدرة على قيادة العملية التربوية والتعليمية والوصول بها الى تحقيق اهدافها . وطالما كانت هذه الادارة ممثلة ابتداء من رئاسات الاقسام ووصولا الى اعلى الهرم الاداري في الجامعة مهمة في تحقيق  الاهداف العلمية والتربوية فان اختيار الاشخاص للقيام بمهامها تاخذ جانبا كبيرا ومهما وذلك للاثر

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Publication Date
Mon Nov 12 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
عمارة عمارة المشهد الحسيني المقدس في ضوء رسومات المطراقي زادة (941ه/1534م) " دراسة تحليلية "
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   The drawings of The travelers artist is important historical document and sources for  important information about The most of The city and building and different Islamic art which idling  because of different causes like wars and destruction or natural causes and disasters like eruptions and earthquakes and floods  which we cannot make a clear form about the buildings  mapping in later period .

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Publication Date
Wed Mar 02 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
The Effect of Numbered Heads Strategy on Developing Oral Expression Skills among Fifth-Grade Primary Students
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This research aims to identify the effect of numbered heads strategy on developing oral expression skills among fifth-grade primary students in Bisha Province. To achieve this, the researcher prepared a research tool represented in the observation card which consists of (27) statements distributed in four axes. The tool was sent to (5) experts in the field to verify their validity. In light of their corrections, the tool was developed to be valid for gathering field information. To verify the validity of the content and the reliability of the tool, the researcher applied it to a sample consists of (20) students from outside the research group. The overall coefficient of correlation between the statements of the tool is as follows: (.95,

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