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bsj-4606
A Modified Approach by Using Prediction to Build a Best Threshold in ARX Model with Practical Application
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The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in determining the best seasonal model. Then they are compared with the obtained models from two methods that mentioned above of the two approaches within a group of the criteria as AIC, MDL, Loss Function, BIC, FPE, MSE, in addition the proposed weighted comparison criteria to determine the best model for representing the wind speed data as input variable, soil and dust as an output variable, in Baghdad Station from January 1956 to December 2012.

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Publication Date
Sun Jul 06 2014
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
أصول التربية : تضارب المحتوى وإشكالية الإعداد دراسة نقدية لكتب ومقررات أصول التربية في الجامعات العربية ووضع تصور منهاجي بديل
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Research questions  start from the fact that what the Arab origins of education  indicted . First question are :

- To what extent the subject of assets acquired a specific meaning in the Arabic books and educational subjects ? Is these selections are reflected on the classification of assets and their types ?
- What’s the nature of the content ? .Is there a consistency between the meaning and content ?

- What entrances handling and curriculum approach and tactics are in those books ?

- Is the assets subject introduced within  the grade  best suited ?

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Publication Date
Sat Feb 01 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Re-engineering management processes and its impact on the strategic decision-making process Field study on the College of Education / University of Mustansiriya / Iraq
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The aim of the research is to identify both the re-engineering of management processes and the strategic decision-making process in the research community and determine the nature of the correlation between the two variables and know the relationship between them to achieve the research goal. The researcher used a descriptive and analytical method. The research community consists of a group of professors and staff of the College of Education affiliated to the University of Mustansiriya in Baghdad, which their number were (45),  the researcher has distributed the forms to all members of the sample,  only (3) forms were excluded for invalidity and thus the number of forms approved in the analysis were (42) forms. The rese

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Publication Date
Mon Oct 22 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
الاميرة الأَميرة أَشرف بهلوي ودورها في التآمر على وزارة مصدق ومجيء قوام السلطنة (6 آيار 1951-22 تموز 1952)
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      The name of princesses  Ashraf Bhlwi was associated with very important events influnced on social polical Iranian fact through second half of twentieth century, with access Dr.Mosaddeq to cabinet on May 1951, The conflict seemed between him and princesses Ashraf in creasingly, when Mosaddeq came to authority he had many projects deal with oil industry laws in Iran and reform the elections laws, reducing terms of reference of Al shah and made it honorable only,  This matter disturbance Royal court especially, Ashraf, she started to coordinate with members of the shura council and other military personalities in order to over throw Mosaddeq cabinet but she failed because Mosaddeq supported by Irani

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Publication Date
Fri Mar 01 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
An empirical Evaluation of the effect of service encounter on customer voluntary behavior: Exploration study of (TBI) customers
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Purpose: To determine the impact of service encounter in stimulating voluntary customer behaviors.

  • Approach / methodology: It was selected a sample of customers Bank Iraqi Trade (TBI) was (105) individual, using a questionnaire designed in the light of previous studies, was drafted scale and tested in the light of a group of statistical methods developed (reliability coefficient, reliability coefficient composite, convergence). Then test hypotheses through structural equation modeling.
  • Results: The behaviors and characteristics of the service provider in effect urged bank customers to perform voluntary extra, as the service environment service encounter

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Publication Date
Mon Sep 30 2002
Journal Name
رسالة ماجستير
THE JAPANESE – CHINESE RELATIONS Study of the Real and Future of the Japanese - Chinese Relations since 1949 - 2001
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With the twenty - First century, It becomes clear to us that for 110 years the Japanese - Chinese relations have been witnessing big radical events and developments. ( we take the year of 1949 as the starting date for this relations). In order to prove hypothesis the study divided in to four chapters. - The first chapter deals with explaining the factors of the subject of the Japanese - Chinese relations which described as Indirect threat and aggressive relations from Japan to China after the Second World War by Japanese entering in the American world strategy, in order to destroy the communist china's system which decleard in 1949, because the united states understood that the new system in Beijing could threat American's Interest

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Publication Date
Sun Jun 20 2021
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Multifactor Algorithm for Test Case Selection and Ordering
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Regression testing being expensive, requires optimization notion. Typically, the optimization of test cases results in selecting a reduced set or subset of test cases or prioritizing the test cases to detect potential faults at an earlier phase. Many former studies revealed the heuristic-dependent mechanism to attain optimality while reducing or prioritizing test cases. Nevertheless, those studies were deprived of systematic procedures to manage tied test cases issue. Moreover, evolutionary algorithms such as the genetic process often help in depleting test cases, together with a concurrent decrease in computational runtime. However, when examining the fault detection capacity along with other parameters, is required, the method falls sh

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Publication Date
Sun Apr 02 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
أهم المشاكل الاجتماعية والنفسية المؤدية إلى الإصابة بمرض الزهايمر لدى كبار السن (دراسة ميدانية لعينة من المصابين في مدينة بغداد)
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The most important social and psychological problems that lead to Alzheimer's disease in the elderly (field study of a sample of people living in the city of Baghdad). The research aims to: 1. Identify the most important social, psychological and health problems of elderly people with Alzheimer's disease. 2. The most prominent solutions and treatments for people living with this disease. 3. rehabilitation and provision of social, psychological and medical services for people with Alzheimer's disease. The research stages of Alzheimer's disease and its symptoms and the most important causes of Alzheimer's disease, research has strengthened the theoretical framework. The theoretical study unexplained social pressure generating dealt with Al

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Publication Date
Tue Jan 08 2019
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
الأمير كوركوز الاويغوري دراسة في سيرته ودوره السياسي والاداري والاقتصادي والعمراني خلال العصر العباسي 624-641 هـ/ 1226- 1243 م
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حظيت عدد من الشخصيات التاريخية ممن كان لها أثر واضح المعالم في تطور النظام الإداري والسياسي للإمبراطورية المغولية، بأهتمام عدد لا بأس به من الباحثين.

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Publication Date
Sat Dec 15 2018
Journal Name
كلية التربية الاساسية
تقويم الكفاءة الادارية لأعضاء اللجان المشرفة على التطبيقات التدريسية في كليات التربية بجامعة بغداد من وجهة نظر التدريسيين المشرفين عليها
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هدف البحث إلى معرفة تقويم الكفاءة الادارية لأعضاء اللجان المشرفة على التطبيقات التدريسية في كليات التربية بجامعة بغداد من وجهة نظر التدريسيين المشرفين عليها. اعتمد البحث المنهج الوصفي التحليلي. وتكون مجتمع البحث من (162) مشرفاً على التطبيقات التدريسية من كليات التربية/ جامعة بغداد، واختيرت عينة البحث بالطريقة العشوائية البسيطة، وبلغ عدد أفراد العينة (120) مشرفاً من الكليات آنفة الذكر. وتم بناء استبانة تضمنت (35)

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 01 2019
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Histological and Physiological Studies on the Long-term Effect of Different Concentrations of Energy Drink (Tiger) on the Renal and Hepatic Systems of Young Mice
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The present study aims to investigate the long-term histopathological, and physiological effects of different concentrations of a commercially available energy drink (Tiger) on liver and kidney of young mice. Sixteen Balb/c male mice,6 -week old, were divided into 4 groups (n=4). Two groups consumed the energy drink at a concentration of 28µl energy drink/ml water. One group were killed after 10 days (T1), another group were killed after 20 days (T2). Other group of mice consumed the energy drink at a final concentration of 14µl/ml for 20 days (T3). The last group was provided only with water and served as control. Mice of all groups drank around 3 ml per day. The histopathological study on liver of treated groups showed many changes s

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