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bsj-4606
A Modified Approach by Using Prediction to Build a Best Threshold in ARX Model with Practical Application
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The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in determining the best seasonal model. Then they are compared with the obtained models from two methods that mentioned above of the two approaches within a group of the criteria as AIC, MDL, Loss Function, BIC, FPE, MSE, in addition the proposed weighted comparison criteria to determine the best model for representing the wind speed data as input variable, soil and dust as an output variable, in Baghdad Station from January 1956 to December 2012.

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Publication Date
Sun Jun 01 2008
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
منظمات الاداء العالي بحث أستطلاعي في الشركة العامة للصناعات الجلدية والشركة العامة لتصنيع الحبوب
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This study discussed modern variable in the organizational thought that is the high performance organizations in the two of Iraqi public organizations. The aim of study determines to know the level of the performance in this organizations (high or not). The data was Collected by questionnaire which contain (8) characteristics, the organizational design, strategy, process, technology, leadership, the roles, culture, and external environment). The sample contain from (76) employees;

Results points that the two organizations didn’t reach to the high level of performance, and there are significance's difference  among them.

 

 

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 04 2024
Journal Name
المكتب العربي للمعارف
إدراة الصراع بين القوى الإقليمية في آسيا بعد 2011 (الصين والهند وروسيا واليابان )انموذجاً
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تعيش قارة آسيا حالة فريدة تكاد تقترب من حالة أوروبا قبل الحرب العالمية الثانية، فالقارة حاليا تحتوي على العديد من القوى الإقليمية الفاعلة أبرزها الصين وروسيا والهند واليابان، أما القوى الإقليمية الفاعلة في نطاق نظمها الإقليمية الفرعية نجد من أهمها الكوريتين (الشمالية والجنوبية)، وباكستان، وإيران وغيرها، ووجه الاختلاف عن أوروبا هو أن آسيا منطقة شاسعة جغرافياً، وكل نظام إقليمي فرعي فيها هو نظام قاري بحد ذات

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Publication Date
Thu Mar 01 2007
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Laminar Natural Convection of Newtonian and Non – Newtonian Fluids Inside Triangular Enclosure
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In the present work, steady two – dimensional laminar natural convection heat transfer of Newtonian and non-Newtonian fluids inside isosceles triangular enclosure has been analyzed numerically for a wide range of the modified Rayleigh numbers of (103Ra ≤ 105), with non-dimensional parameter (NE) of Prandtl – Eyring model ranging from (0 to 10), and modified Prandtl number take in the range (Pr* =1,10, and 100). Two types of boundary conditions have been considered. The first, when the inclined walls are heated with different uniform temperatures and the lower wall is insulated. The second, when the bottom wall is heated by applying a uniform heat flux while the inclined walls at

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Publication Date
Tue Feb 12 2019
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Laser
Enhanced Relative Humidity Sensor via Diameter of No-Core Fiber Structure
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Single mode-no core-single mode fiber structure with a section of tuned no-core fiber diameter to sense changes in relative humidity has been experimentally demonstrated. The sensor performance with tuned NCF diameter was investigated to maximize the evanescent fields. Different tuned diameters of of (100, 80, and 60)μm were obtained by chemical etching process based on hydrofluoric acid immersion. The highest wavelength sensitivity was obtained 184.57 pm/RH% in the RH range of 30% –100% when the no-core fiber diameter diameter was 60 μm and the sensor response was in real-time measurements

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Publication Date
Fri Dec 01 2023
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
Exploring the Effects of European Union Conditionality Language on European Mediterranean Human Rights Dialogue
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Since more than a decade, human rights dialogue in the European Mediterranean Region has been marked by a number of tensions. Although a number of factors contribute to such disputes, the effect of human rights conditionality, which ties EU economic cooperation progression with partner countries human rights advancement, on the dialogue has not been studied. Understanding the aspects, impacts, and effects of conditionality on Euro-Med relations is crucial for furthering dialogue. Yet this variable has been almost entirely neglected in academic and policy research. The research concludes several direct and indirect impacts of conditionality on human rights dialogue using a mixed methodology approach. Direct effects are reflected in the wi

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Publication Date
Wed Sep 25 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
كنائس وأديرة بغداد في العصر العباسي ودورها الإجتماعي والإقتصادي والثقافي (132- 656هـ/ 749- 1258م)
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اقيمت الكنائس على جانبي مدينة بغداد الغربي(الكرخ) والشرقي(الرصافة)، أما الأديرة فقد انشئت في موضع مدينة بغداد قبل بنائها وبعد البناء حافظ البعض منها على مكانته وانشئ البعض الآخر، في جانبيها الغربي(الكرخ) والشرقي(الرصافة)، وهو ما سنركز عليه في بحثنا عن كنائس وأديرة بغداد لمختلف الطوائف المسيحية فيها، فضلاً عن تسليط الضوء على دورها الإجتماعي والإقتصادي والثقافي، وإن كان محدوداً جداً وقاصراً على الأديرة أكثر

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Publication Date
Wed Oct 01 2008
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
الضغوط النفسية والعوامل الاجتماعية المؤدية إلى الإصابة بأمراض القولون ( بحث ميداني في مدينة بغداد )
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بالنظر الظروف الراهنة التي يمر بها قطرنا ونتيجة للارتفاع معدل الاصابة بالامراض ذات الطابع النفسي جسمي او ما تعرف بامراض سوء التكيف الناتج عن الضغوط النفسية المستمرة.

ارتأت الحاجة الى دراسة هذا النوع من المرض والتي ترجعها الباحثة الى الاسباب التالية :.

1-تعرض المواطن العراقي الى ضغوط نفسية مستمرة متمثلة بحالة الانفلات الامني والشعور بالقلق المستمر المراف

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Publication Date
Wed Mar 01 2006
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
أهمية ودور و ملائمة البيانات المحاسبية في صنع و اتخاذ و ترشيد القرارات الادارية
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Publication Date
Mon Nov 12 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
عمارة عمارة المشهد الحسيني المقدس في ضوء رسومات المطراقي زادة (941ه/1534م) " دراسة تحليلية "
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   The drawings of The travelers artist is important historical document and sources for  important information about The most of The city and building and different Islamic art which idling  because of different causes like wars and destruction or natural causes and disasters like eruptions and earthquakes and floods  which we cannot make a clear form about the buildings  mapping in later period .

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Publication Date
Wed Jan 01 2020
Journal Name
Middle East Research Journal
Evolution of medical risks and the standard for informing patients about them
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The right of the patient to know the medical risks surrounding the medical intervention is one of the most prominent rights based on the principle of "physical safety", which has undergone several stages of development until it reached the development of the patient's independence in making medical decision without relying on the doctor, The patient's prior informed consent is informed of his / her medical condition. We will study this development in accordance with the French March 4, 2002 legislation on the rights of patients in the health system, whether it was earlier and later. We will highlight the development of the patient's right to "know the medical risks surrounding medical intervention" The legislation and its comparison with th

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