The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in dete

This study discussed modern variable in the organizational thought that is the high performance organizations in the two of Iraqi public organizations. The aim of study determines to know the level of the performance in this organizations (high or not). The data was Collected by questionnaire which contain (8) characteristics, the organizational design, strategy, process, technology, leadership, the roles, culture, and external environment). The sample contain from (76) employees;

Results points that the two organizations didn’t reach to the high level of performance, and there are significance's difference  among them.

 the study of social phenomena in this direction is, the sign of deviousness to the segments of the circumstance with their conditions and circumstances, then pointed to the uniforms that they were adorned by the tortillas as well as shirt Safaf from good linen soft and touched the country and the good and others.

الملاخص

On the research that is marked by the historical development of the Supreme Federal Court in Iraq accordance with the issued legal legislations Research Submitted by Adel Amran Hamad Faculty Member, the college of Biotechnology

التوجهات الفكرية الجديدة لانظمة دول العالم الثالث في ظل النظام العالمي الجديد : العراق نموذجاً

The research aims to present and discuss the accounting bases adopted in accounting for fixed assets in the public sector with an emphasis on its importance in the area of ​​accountability and fixed assets management , based on a realistic problem associated with the use of cash basis accounting in the public sector in Iraq, which are difficult  to provide accounting information useful for many users , including the same units and regulatory departments for the purposes of accountability and management of those assets. Search tool has been the organization questionnaire, its results show the importance of financial reporting for provide accounting information about fixed assets relate to the units of the public sector in Iraq fo

The idea of ​​the research at first was to find out about the rare occurrence, which is the occurrence of a violation in the same madhhab and between two Shafi’i scholars such as Al-Amadi and Ibn Al-Subki. The scholarly had some brief and then moved on to the fundamentalist violations that occurred between them in the syllabus of the hearing within the chapter on analogy exclusively. The diffuse division (within the sounding and division) of the observer and the debates, or is it confined to the beholder without the debates, Imam Al-Amadi sees the inadmissibility of analogy with the reasons, while Imam Ibn Al-Subki argues that it is permissible, and Imam Al-Amdi sees that the widespread division is an argument for the observer (Muj

The research aims to determine the impact of the use of teaching aids for the textbook and graphics teacher illustrations in the collection of historical information and retention, limited research on a sample of students in grade five numbered (68) primary school students of Benin in Baghdad governorate / Breeding Rusafa First, select the researchers of scientific material for students in research Topics are the first and second chapter of the Book of the Arab-Islamic history, set by the Ministry of Education.

 And promising targets behavioral and according to the content of subject numbered (100) goal and lesson plans exemplary nu