Nonlinear time series analysis is one of the most complex problems ; especially the nonlinear autoregressive with exogenous variable (NARX) .Then ; the problem of model identification and the correct orders determination considered the most important problem in the analysis of time series . In this paper , we proposed splines  estimation method for model identification , then we used three criterions for the correct orders determination. Where ; proposed method used to estimate the additive splines for model identification , And the rank determination depends on the additive property  to avoid the problem of curse dimensionally . The proposed method is one of the nonparametric methods , and the simulation results give a

In this research a recent developed practical modeling technique is applied for the glucose regulation system identification. By using this technique a set of mathematical models is obtained instead of single one to compensate for the  loss of information caused by the optimization technique in curve fitting algorithms, the diversity of members inside the single set is interpreted in term of restricted range of its parameters, also a diagnosis criteria is developed for detecting any disorder in the glucose regulation system by investigating the influence of variation of the parameters on the response of the system, this technique is applied in this research practically  for 20 cases with association of  National Center for

􀀨􀀅􀀆􀀔􀀜􀀄􀀂􀀆􀀈􀀓􀀌􀀩􀀏􀀆􀀉􀀅􀀆􀀉􀀅􀀉􀀚􀀝􀀔􀀄􀀗􀀉􀀚􀀆􀀂􀀓􀀚􀀁􀀔􀀄􀀓􀀅􀀆􀀄􀀂􀀆􀀔􀀓􀀆􀀃􀀂􀀔􀀄􀀟􀀉􀀔􀀃􀀆􀀔􀀜􀀃􀀆􀀛􀀃􀀜􀀄􀀗􀀚􀀃􀀆􀀗􀀌􀀄􀀔􀀄􀀗􀀉􀀚􀀆􀀂􀀘􀀃􀀃􀀊􀀂􀀆􀀓􀀖􀀆􀀓􀀛􀀃􀀌􀀔􀀁􀀌􀀅􀀄􀀅􀀕􀀢􀀆􀀪􀀜􀀃􀀆􀀄􀀅􀀛􀀃􀀂􀀔􀀄􀀕􀀉􀀔􀀄􀀓􀀅􀀂􀀆 􀀉􀀌􀀃􀀆􀀙􀀉􀀂􀀃􀀊􀀆􀀓􀀅􀀆􀀉􀀁􀀔􀀓􀀟􀀓􀀙􀀄􀀚􀀃􀀆􀀚􀀉􀀔􀀃􀀌􀀉􀀚􀀆􀀂􀀘􀀉􀀗􀀃􀀆􀀟􀀄􀀊􀀂􀀔􀀆􀀔􀀜􀀃􀀆􀀗􀀃􀀅􀀔􀀃􀀌􀀚􀀄􀀅􀀃􀀂􀀆􀀓􀀖􀀆􀀔􀀜􀀃􀀆􀀙􀀉􀀂􀀃􀀆

        fashion designers who have benefited greatly from the mobilization of ancient aesthetic ideas in the heritage of the people and guaranteed in their productions so that there is no change In the aesthetic value created by the designers of the research in the ancient heritage to find new signs that reflect the connection of man to the present as the aesthetic value of all the man created by the designs of fabrics and fashion through the ages      The problem of research was determined in the absence of a precise understanding of the nature of classical thought in fashion and the absence of a clear perception of the sustainability of this thought in contemporary fashion. He

                  The research aims to present a proposed strategy for the North Oil Company, and the proposed strategy took into account the surrounding environmental conditions and adopted in its formulation on the basis and scientific steps that are comprehensive and realistic, as it covered the main activities of the company (production and exploration activities, refining and refining activities, export and transport of oil, research and development activity, financial activity, information technology, human resources) and the (David) model has been adopted in the environmental analysis of the factors that have been diagnosed according to a

يهدف البحث الى تقديم استراتيجية مقترحة لشركة نفط الشمال ، وأخذت الاستراتيجية المقترحة بنظر الاعتبار الظروف البيئية المحيطة واعتمدت في صياغتها على اسس وخطوات علمية تتسم بالشمولية والواقعية ، اذ انها غطت الانشطة الرئيسية في الشركة (نشاط الانتاج والاستكشاف , نشاط التكرير والتصفية , التصدير ونقل النفط , نشاط البحث والتطوير , النشاط المالي , تقنية المعلومات , الموارد البشرية ) وقد اعتمد نموذج (David) في التحليل البيئي

In this paper, the finite element method is used to study the dynamic behavior of the damaged rotating composite blade. Three dimensional, finite element programs were developed using a nine node laminated shell as a discretization element for the blade structure (the same element type is used for damaged and non-damaged structure). In this analysis the initial stress effect (geometric stiffness) and other rotational effects except the carioles acceleration effect are included.  The investigation covers the effect speed of rotation, aspect ratio, skew angle, pre-twist angle, radius to length, layer lamination and fiber orientation of composite blade. After modeling a non-damaged rotating composite blade, the work procedure was to ap