The rapid success and the field dilation of Daish organization in both Iraq and Syria make academic institutes and research centers to pay attention to its propaganda means to gain its public opinion, and to further investigation about new methods employed by this organization to disseminate its messages to the public, particularly young people in large areas of the world. This organization uses traditional propaganda techniques on psychological war and its levels, social network sites and platforms that are distributed online. This study seeks to expose more persuasive methods used by the organization to gain multiple classes of society and to disseminate its extremist ideological thoughts. It also studies the psychological operation and mental deception to achieve its goals and strengthens its presence on the occupied areas. This research also focuses on other Daish’s propaganda efforts comparable with the deceptive nature of such terrorist organizations, generally like propaganda of clash between the groups or different social classes, agitation of enthusiasm passion, the use of new electronic technologies of illustration to increase the psychological impact depending on the expertise and funds are obtained in different ways. The study found a number of conclusions, including:
The study concludes with the following results:
1- Daish organization realizes the importance and power of media to gain public opinion, supporters and sympathizers since the beginning of its appearance representative by Abu Musab al-Zarqawi
2- Daish has additional power factors after its dilation and occupied cities in Iraq and Syria as a result of the growth of its financial resources and it polarizes new technical experts.
3-The propaganda system of Daish uses various recruit techniques and psychological operations to make youth, women and children be involved to expand its supporters by which it implement special armed operations
4- Daish has used the preachers, imams of mosques, social networking sites, info graphics, and electronic forums as a means to implicate recruits and teach them ways of belonging to this organization as well as how to make explosives via the internet.
5- It owns several propaganda arms forming the skeleton of its electronic arms including productive and audio-visual centers as well as publications like Dabiq magazine, Alshamilha magazine, and Khansa magazine.
6- Daish organization depends not only on mass communication through its new and traditional means, but also uses direct means of persuasions by training preachers and some individual practices to raise enthusiasm and passion by using the normal cassette or compact disk ( CD).
7- It uses the deceptive style and bright words to create a historical depth of its formation and show an alleged link of caliphate with the Islamic caliphate in the era of the Prophet Muhammad and his Caliphs.
8- Daish relies on persuasive techniques of psychology in order to lure young people and women, to recruit its supporters.
9- Daish shows the children, who call them cubs caliphs, in its propaganda through a series of short films. These cubs› caliphs are involved in military, field, and psychological training programs.
Through recent years many researchers have developed methods to estimate the self-similarity and long memory parameter that is best known as the Hurst parameter. In this paper, we set a comparison between nine different methods. Most of them use the deviations slope to find an estimate for the Hurst parameter like Rescaled range (R/S), Aggregate Variance (AV), and Absolute moments (AM), and some depend on filtration technique like Discrete Variations (DV), Variance versus level using wavelets (VVL) and Second-order discrete derivative using wavelets (SODDW) were the comparison set by a simulation study to find the most efficient method through MASE. The results of simulation experiments were shown that the performance of the meth
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Abstract:
The models of time series often suffer from the problem of the existence of outliers that accompany the data collection process for many reasons, their existence may have a significant impact on the estimation of the parameters of the studied model. Access to highly efficient estimators is one of the most important stages of statistical analysis, And it is therefore important to choose the appropriate methods to obtain good estimators. The aim of this research is to compare the ordinary estimators and the robust estimators of the estimation of the parameters of
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The topic of urban transformations has attracted the attention of researchers as it is one of the basic issues through which cities can be transformed towards sustainability. A specific level of transformation levels according to a philosophical concept known as a crossing. This article has relied on a specific methodology that aims to find a new approach for urban transformation based on the crossing concept. This concept derives from philosophical entrances based on the concepts of (being, process, becoming, and integration). Four levels have been for the crossing are (normal, ascending, leap, and descending). Each of these levels includes specific characteristics that distinguish it. The results showed that there is no descending
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In this paper we used frequentist and Bayesian approaches for the linear regression model to predict future observations for unemployment rates in Iraq. Parameters are estimated using the ordinary least squares method and for the Bayesian approach using the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method. Calculations are done using the R program. The analysis showed that the linear regression model using the Bayesian approach is better and can be used as an alternative to the frequentist approach. Two criteria, the root mean square error (RMSE) and the median absolute deviation (MAD) were used to compare the performance of the estimates. The results obtained showed that the unemployment rates will continue to increase in the next two decade
... Show Morewith an organized propaganda campaign. This military campaign was helped to formulate its speech by many institutions, research centers, and knowledge and intelligence circles in order to mobilize public opinion gain supporters and face the opponents by different means depending on a variety of styles to achieve its required effects.
After the US occupation of Iraq, US media fighters sought to influence the Iraqi public opinion and making them convinced them of the important presence of US military forces in Iraq which necessitated finding its justification through the use of persuasive techniques in its intensive propaganda campaigns.
This research discusses the most important
In this paper, a new equivalent lumped parameter model is proposed for describing the vibration of beams under the moving load effect. Also, an analytical formula for calculating such vibration for low-speed loads is presented. Furthermore, a MATLAB/Simulink model is introduced to give a simple and accurate solution that can be used to design beams subjected to any moving loads, i.e., loads of any magnitude and speed. In general, the proposed Simulink model can be used much easier than the alternative FEM software, which is usually used in designing such beams. The obtained results from the analytical formula and the proposed Simulink model were compared with those obtained from Ansys R19.0, and very good agreement has been shown. I
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