تتناول هذه الدراسة أثر النفط في السياسة الخارجية العراقية خلال المدة 1991–2021، عبر تحليل الكيفية التي أثّر بها المورد النفطي في قدرة الدولة على التفاوض، وبناء المكانة، وإدارة العلاقات الإقليمية والدولية في ثلاث لحظات تاريخية رئيسة: مرحلة الحصار الدولي وبرنامج «النفط مقابل الغذاء»، ومرحلة إعادة بناء الدولة بعد عام 2003، ومرحلة الانخراط في ترتيبات أوبك+ حتى عام 2021. وتوظّف الدراسة مقاربة تاريخية–سياسية مدعومة بتتبع العمليات ودراسات حالة مقارنة، مع تشغيل مفهوم «الأثر» عبر مؤشرات تتصل بالقدرة التفاوضية، والاتساق المؤسسي، وتنويع المنافذ، والموثوقية داخل المنصات الدولية. وتخلص الدراسة إلى أن أثر النفط في السياسة الخارجية العراقية لم يكن ثابتاً، بل كان مشروطاً بمستوى السيادة الفعلية على العائدات والصادرات، وبمقدار التنسيق بين مؤسسات الدولة المعنية بالطاقة والسياسة الخارجية. ففي حين حدّت الوصاية الدولية والتجزئة المؤسسية من تحويل النفط إلى نفوذ مستدام خلال بعض المراحل، مكّن تحسن التنسيق والامتثال التفاوضي في مراحل أخرى من توظيف النفط بوصفه رصيداً سياسياً قابلاً للتحويل إلى مكاسب تفاوضية ومكانة خارجية. الكلمات المفتاحية: النفط، السياسة الخارجية العراقية، الحصار الدولي، النفط مقابل الغذاء، أوبك+، الدبلوماسية النفطية، المكانة التفاوضية.
Receipt date:2/17/2021 acceptance date:3/16/2021 Publishing date:12/31/2021
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Objective: This paper investigates the contradictions in the decision-making process of the United States, which historically proven to be successful policies in the short term, but in the long term proven to be wanting and failure. Methodology: The paper uses descriptive, historical, comparative method. A
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Abstract
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