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نمذجة السلاسل الزمنية التي تنتجها اجهزة الاحصاء الدولية وانتاج قيم تنبؤية لمتخذ القرار حالة دراسية : التنبؤ بالمساحة المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة (2015-2020
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تنفذ أجهزة اإلحصاء الدولية ومنها الجهاز المركزي لإلحصاء في العراقإحدى أجهزة وزارة التخطيط، تقوم بإجراء مسوح سنوية ودورية لإنتاج مؤشرات تقييم وتقويم أنشطة القطاعات الاقتصادية المختلفة. يتيح هذا الكم الهائل من البيانات بشكل سلسل زمني لهذه الأجهزة إنتاج مؤشرات جديدة، بما في ذلك القيم التنبؤية لمؤشرات رئيسية تستخدم في إعداد الخطط طويلة وقصيرة المدى. في عام 2015، قامت مديرية الإحصاء الزراعي في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء ببناء منظومة زمنية لمؤشرات الإحصاء الزراعي، وهذه خطوة أولى نحو بناء نماذج تنبؤية لهذه المؤشرات تساعدنا على رؤية مستقبلية. يهدف البحث إلى تحديد أفضل نموذج إحصائي للاستخدام في تنبؤ المساحات المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة 2015-2020 باستخدام بيانات السلسلة الزمنية للأعوام 1949-2014، بطول فترة 65 سنة. تم تطبيق أسلوب بوكس-جنكينز، وأظهرت النتائج أن النموذج الأنسب هو نموذج ARIMA (0,1,2) مقارنة بعدة نماذج أخرى باستخدام معايير إحصائية مختلفة لاختيار النموذج المناسب. توصي الدراسة وزارة الزراعة ووزارة التجارة بالاعتماد على القيم التنبؤية في إعداد الخطط الزراعية والتسويقية، وتوصي العاملين في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء باعتماد هذا النموذج في تنبؤ مساحات المحاصيل واعتماد منهجية البحث في بناء نماذج تنبؤية لمؤشرات منظومة السلسلة الزمنية للإحصاءات الزراعية الأخرى.

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Publication Date
Sun Jul 03 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
Effect of Exemplar of Wettli On Acquiring Grammatical Concepts Among Basic 7th Class Female Students in Kurdish Language Grammar
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The current paper aims at knowing the effect of  Exemplar of Wettli On Acquiring Grammatical Concepts Among Basic 7th Class Female Students in Kurdish Language Grammar.

The current paper is confined to a sample of  Basic 7th Class Female Students-  Khaniqin –belonged Morning schools for the academic year 2014-2015 . The sample amounted 50 female students  distributed on two sections ( A,B) . Section A represented  experimental group ( 24) female  students  studied according to the exemplar of ( Wettli) and (B) represented control group (26) female students who have studied with traditional method. The researcher has qualified between these two groups  b

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 22 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The impact of international Accounting Standard No (21) in reducing tax obstacles : applied research in the General Authority for Taxes .
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               The research aimed to shed light on the impact of international Accounting Standard No (21) on tax obstacles represented by (tax evasion, double taxation) The financial statements of a group of banks operating in the private sector were relied upon to know the impact of the standard on tax obstacles, as well as knowing the amount of amounts, The researcher relied on the method of financial analysis of that data, which was obtained from the website of the Securities Commission, and conducted personal interviews with a number of university professors, chartered accountants, financial experts, banks, and the General Authority for Taxes to benefit from their

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 01 2018
Journal Name
مجلة دراسات محاسبية ومالية
دور الذكاء الصناعي في تحقيق رضا الزبون وانعكاسه على محاسبة التكاليف بحث تطبيقي في شركة الصناعات الالكترونية
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دور الذكاء الصناعي في تحقيق رضا الزبون وانعكاسه على محاسبة التكاليف بحث تطبيقي في شركة الصناعات الالكترونية

Publication Date
Thu Jan 04 2024
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Marketing commission and its role in enhancing the competitive advantage of insurance companies : Applied research on a sample of Iraqi insurance companies
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Abstract:

                 The research aims to improve the insurance service through the marketing commission as a tool that enables the insurance companies to achieve a competitive advantage. The researcher, by observing the challenges faced by insurance companies, insurance agents and brokers, raised the main question of the research: Is there an effect of the marketing commission on the competitive advantage of insurance companies? The data was obtained through the financial statements and annual reports of the research sample companies (the National General Insurance Company, the Iraqi General Insurance Company, Al-Hamra Private

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Publication Date
Tue Oct 23 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Planner And Development
تأثير الموارد والامكانات الاقليمية في القدرة التنافسية للانشطة الصناعية – الحالة الدراسية نشاط الصناعة القطنية في محافظة واسط
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Publication Date
Sat Feb 01 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The impact of social audit in social performance an applied study of the views of a sample of managers and staff of Algerian business organizations
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            This research aims at clarifying the concept of social auditing, which is one of the most important reasons for its emergence is social responsibility accounting and its role in measuring the social performance of enterprises. The study also aimed to know how social auditing has an impact and its role in improving the social performance of business organizations, and the research refers to testing the hypotheses of an impact of social auditing on social performance through a commitment to social responsibility. The research sample consisted of 200 individuals from 20 Algerian business organizations and represented individuals who were researched in managers and em

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Crossref
Publication Date
Sun Jul 02 2006
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
اثر المعرفة المسبقة بالأهداف السلوكية في تحصيل طالبات قسم القران الكريم والتربية الإسلامية في مادة احكام التلاوة
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مشكلة البحث

إن طرائق تدريس المواد الشرعية ما تزال تُدّرس بطرائق لا تتناسب مع ما توصل إليه البحث العلمي في الميدان التربوي في الوقت الحاضر ، وهذا مما سبب في وجود أزمة فكرية وعلمية في الأقسام التي تدرس المناهج الدينية .

على الرغم من الأهمية الكبيرة لمادة التلاوة ، إلا أن هناك مشكلة كثيرا ما يعاني منها مدرسو هذه المادة، وهي انصراف الطلبة عن حفظ النصوص القرآن

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Publication Date
Sun May 10 2020
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Lack of Association between LCS6 Variant in KRAS Gene with the Occurrence of Breast Tumors in Iraqi Women
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Breast cancer is the most commonly diagnosed cancer and remains one of the main reasons of cancer-related mortality in women worldwide. KRAS variant rs61764370 (T>G) is associated with an increased risk of occurrence of many cancers, Here The case-control study was accomplished on 135 women including 45 women with breast cancer patients, 45 women with benign breast lesions and 45 healthy women to analyze the association of KRAS variant rs (61764370 T>G) with breast cancer. LCS 6 variant in KRAS gene was amplified by using specific primers, then genotype was detected after sequencing the PCR products. The results showed that the genotype and allele frequency of TT and GT allele of  KRAS

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Scopus (4)
Crossref (1)
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Publication Date
Mon Feb 01 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The role of academic leadership practices in activating the human capital / A field research of a Iraqi universities sample / Baghdad
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The aims of this study to diagnose the role of the (relationship and impact) Academic driving practices dimensions (model the way, inspire a shared vision, challenge the process, enable others to act, encourage the heart ) in the activation of human capital (investment and development) for (knowledge, skills, expertise, creative and training capabilities) in a sample of university professors in Baghdad city(Baghdad University, Al Mustansiriya University, University of Technology). (367 )samples were distributed to (232 at the University of Baghdad, 97 at Al-Mustansiriya University and 38 at the University of Technology). The goals of descriptive analytical method research have been used, questionnaire has been a main tool for dat

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Crossref
Publication Date
Wed Dec 30 2015
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
The absurdity of Orientalist thought and its deviation in interpretation Quranic text View and critique
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The absurdity of Orientalist thought and its deviation in interpretation
Quranic text
View and critique

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