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نمذجة السلاسل الزمنية التي تنتجها اجهزة الاحصاء الدولية وانتاج قيم تنبؤية لمتخذ القرار حالة دراسية : التنبؤ بالمساحة المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة (2015-2020
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تنفذ أجهزة اإلحصاء الدولية ومنها الجهاز المركزي لإلحصاء في العراقإحدى أجهزة وزارة التخطيط، تقوم بإجراء مسوح سنوية ودورية لإنتاج مؤشرات تقييم وتقويم أنشطة القطاعات الاقتصادية المختلفة. يتيح هذا الكم الهائل من البيانات بشكل سلسل زمني لهذه الأجهزة إنتاج مؤشرات جديدة، بما في ذلك القيم التنبؤية لمؤشرات رئيسية تستخدم في إعداد الخطط طويلة وقصيرة المدى. في عام 2015، قامت مديرية الإحصاء الزراعي في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء ببناء منظومة زمنية لمؤشرات الإحصاء الزراعي، وهذه خطوة أولى نحو بناء نماذج تنبؤية لهذه المؤشرات تساعدنا على رؤية مستقبلية. يهدف البحث إلى تحديد أفضل نموذج إحصائي للاستخدام في تنبؤ المساحات المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة 2015-2020 باستخدام بيانات السلسلة الزمنية للأعوام 1949-2014، بطول فترة 65 سنة. تم تطبيق أسلوب بوكس-جنكينز، وأظهرت النتائج أن النموذج الأنسب هو نموذج ARIMA (0,1,2) مقارنة بعدة نماذج أخرى باستخدام معايير إحصائية مختلفة لاختيار النموذج المناسب. توصي الدراسة وزارة الزراعة ووزارة التجارة بالاعتماد على القيم التنبؤية في إعداد الخطط الزراعية والتسويقية، وتوصي العاملين في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء باعتماد هذا النموذج في تنبؤ مساحات المحاصيل واعتماد منهجية البحث في بناء نماذج تنبؤية لمؤشرات منظومة السلسلة الزمنية للإحصاءات الزراعية الأخرى.

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Publication Date
Sat Feb 09 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Eloquence Assemblage in Andalusian Poetry
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The eloquence assemblage, as it is appeared in this research, is the most prominent terms that
accompany the art. It includes the whole artworkand it does not stop at the borders of the
construction, but also extends to the material presented in this or that work. It means the
discovery of all that essential in the material presented and it is far away from what is
accidental and fleeting. Moreover, it is the type of pressure of the poetic status and the
familiarity with the material flowing subconsciously. It means that the clever poet masters his
language alongside with his discernment and intelligence framed by fast-witted. The semantic
assemblage within the technical construction means focusing on what embodies t

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Publication Date
Sat Feb 01 2014
Journal Name
دار الجواهري للنشر والطباعة
الميسر في موسيقى الشعر العربي
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الميسر في موسيقى الشعر العربي

Publication Date
Wed Dec 27 2017
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Stress Analysis of the Hip Bone
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The bony pelvis has a major role in weight transmission to the lower limbs. The complexities of its geometric form, material properties, and loading conditions render it an open subject to biomechanical analysis.

 The present study deals with area measurement, and three-dimensional finite element analysis of the hip bone to investigate magnitudes, load direction, and stress distribution under physiological loading conditions.

 The surface areas of the auricular surface, lunate surface, and symphysis pubis were measured in (35) adult hip bones. A solid model was translated into ANSYS parametric design language to be analyzed by finite element analysis method under different loading conditions.

The surface

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Publication Date
Fri Dec 15 2023
Journal Name
مجلة آداب المستنصرية
(Semantic expansion in the Arabic system)
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The principle in the language is that each word has one meaning. This is because the purpose of language development is for understanding, understanding, and communication between people. The language is sounds with which each people expresses their Arabic language did not stop at this point, but rather needed another next stage or to convey additional features or characteristics that would qualify it. To be the language of the Qur’an and revelation, and capable of carrying this heavy burden.

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Publication Date
Mon Sep 25 2023
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
المنهج النبوي في التعايش الحضاري
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This research aims to highlight the prophetic approach in civilized coexistence, and to show what society was like in the time of the Prophet, and specifically after the sakha and the writing of the newspaper (prophetic document) which established the rules of civilized coexistence, and there is no doubt that God almighty created all nations and different peoples according to Human nature, this difference has been recognized by the duty of coexistence and acquaintance without abolishing each other, coexistence and recognition of the other and respect for its particularities result in a state of dialogue between cultures and civilizations and paves the way for their meeting instead of clashing, as well as contributing coexistence to make

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Publication Date
Mon Dec 30 2019
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
Talk show in prophetic stories
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This research deals with dialogic submission as one of the most important deliberative topics in the process of linguistic communication between the two sides of the discourse, and therefore we find in this research its concept among the ancient Arabs of grammarians, rhetoric and fundamentalists, and we started with Western linguists as a result of their knowledge of the philosophy of language, and this research was satisfied with the principle of cooperation that came By Grace as the founder of this modern deliberative topic with an attempt to monitor this principle in the prophetic stories and the susceptibility of the stories to this kind of implicit communication, as the prophetic stories included multiple deliberative dimensions of

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Publication Date
Fri Dec 15 2023
Journal Name
Al-academy
The Philosophy of time in contemporary arts
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Fine art represents part of society's culture. The development of art was accompanied by the penetration of new worlds known as the fourth dimension. After art entered the boundaries of geometry and reduction; He began to break into the absurd, and the form and philosophy of art changed, moving from modernity to what came after it to contemporary. Transforming from a formal form into a symbolic form with philosophical implications linked to the light, audio and kinetic effects as they embody time, the concept became the master of the idea. The research aims to identify the concept of time and its types, then the philosophical concept of time and its reflection on contemporary art, through the analytical study of a selection of contempora

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Publication Date
Sun Sep 30 2012
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
Verses of righteousness in the Holy Quran
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This research is based on the study of a group of Quranic verses that share a certain part, and these verses are verses of righteousness, and the word righteousness has been mentioned in the Holy Qur’an eight times, and the number of verses in this word was six verses, in four walls, all of which are from the civil fence which is the cow and was There are five words of righteousness contained in them, and the family of Imran is one word, and the table is one word, and the argument is one word. This study adopts the method of analytical interpretation of the Quranic text is a term that means statement and clarification in a way that the researcher produces to divide a Quranic text into its elements that are involved in its formation and

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Publication Date
Sat Jun 01 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
Le Français dans le contexte irakien
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L'ouverture des frontières et la mondialisation des échanges,comme les projets de l'intégration font de la connaissance de langue un enjeu essentiel ,professionnel et culturel,pour le citoyen de demain.

L'Irak est un pays Anglophone où domine l'anglais,le français est considérée comme deuxième langue étrangère en Irak.

Notre mini-mémoire se compose de deux parties.Dans la première partie nous essayons d'examiner la place du français en Irak qui nous dirige à savoir pourquoi on apprend le français en Irak et qui l'apprend?Est –ce qu'il y a une coopération française?

Dans la deuxième partie nous examinons les problèmes du français en Ir

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Publication Date
Wed Jan 01 2014
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
LA CONDICIONALIDAD EN ESPAÑOL Estudio analítico, formal y semántico-pragmático
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RESUMEN:

 Pretendemos hacer con este trabajo un breve recorrido sobre lo que han dicho algunos gramáticos de las construcciones condicionales, a la par señalaremos los criterios que los mismos establecen y siguen para diferenciar entre distintos tipos de estructuras condicionales o entre las construcciones que ellos entienden o consideran como tales y las que no, atendiendo fundamentalmente a dos criterios; formal y semántico-pragmático. El presente trabajo tiene como objetivo la clasificación y la descripción de las construcciones condicionales, demostrando que no todas las condicionales son hipotéticas ni todas las hipotéticas son condicionales.

Abstract

We intend to make this work

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