The grey system model GM(1,1) is the model of the prediction of the time series and the basis of the grey theory. This research presents the methods for estimating parameters of the grey model GM(1,1) is the accumulative method (ACC), the exponential method (EXP), modified exponential method (Mod EXP) and the Particle Swarm Optimization method (PSO). These methods were compared based on the Mean square error (MSE) and the Mean Absolute percentage error (MAPE) as a basis comparator and the simulation method was adopted for the best of the four methods, The best method was obtained and then applied to real data. This data represents the consumption rate of two types of oils a heavy fuel (HFO) and diesel fuel (D.O) and the use of tests to confirm the accuracy of the grey model. After obtaining the results, the best method to estimate the parameters of the grey model GM(1,1) is the method of the Particle Swarm Optimization method (PSO) It has been used to treatment the missing values in the data and in the prediction where it has been shown to have the best results
Research summary
Informing means informing and informing, which is conveying information to someone and confirming his narration with it. Accordingly, information is its main content..and it has multiple means, including visual, audio and read, and it has become the dominant role in the process of socialization, and much of what we hear, read, or watch in the media is not devoid of a goal, and expresses that scientifically as “charged with values” ( Value Loaded)..Values that are: the set of beliefs that the individual holds towards things, meanings, and various aspects of activity, which direct his desires and attitudes towards them, and determine for him acceptable and unacceptable behavior, right and wrong, and all of this
... Show MoreThe current study aimed to measure the attitudes of female teachers towards the use of digital learning and the degree of possessing their digital education skills. The study sample consisted of (180) workers with disabilities (mental disability، auditory impairment، visual disability، hyperactivity and distraction. To achieve the goals of the study, the transformation measure was used towards digital education for people with disabilities. The study reached the following results: the availability of digital learning skills among workers with disabilities. The study concluded with a series of recommendations including holding Training courses to keep up with the challenges of educational trends and modern technology in this area.
The research included five sections containing the first section on the introduction of the research and its importance and was addressed to the importance of the game of gymnastic and skilled parallel effectiveness and the importance of learning, but the problem of research that there is a difference in learning this skill and difficulty in learning may be one of the most important reasons are fear and fear of falling and injury, And a lack of sense of the movement of the movement is one of the obstacles in the completion of the skill and the goal of research to design a device that helps in learning the skill of descending Almtor facing with half a cycle according to the typical locomotor track on the parallel device of the technical men'
... Show MoreThis work focused on principle of higher order mode excitation using in- line Double Clad Multi-Mode Mach-Zehnder Interferometer (DC-MM-MZI). The DC-MM-MZI was designed with 50 cm etched MMF. The etching length is 5cm. The tenability of this interferometer was studied using opt grating ver.4.2.2 and optiwave
ver. 7 simulator. After removing (25, 35, 45, 55) μm from MMF and immersing this segment of MMF with water bath contained distilled water and ethanol, in addition to, air. Pulsed laser source centered at 1546.7nm ,pulse width 10ns and peak power 1.33mW was propagated via this interferometer Maximum modes were obtained in case of air surrounded media which are 9800 and 25 um removed cladding layer, with peak power 49.800 m
This paper deals with constructing mixed probability distribution from exponential with scale parameter (β) and also Gamma distribution with (2,β), and the mixed proportions are ( .first of all, the probability density function (p.d.f) and also cumulative distribution function (c.d.f) and also the reliability function are obtained. The parameters of mixed distribution, ( ,β) are estimated by three different methods, which are maximum likelihood, and Moments method,as well proposed method (Differential Least Square Method)(DLSM).The comparison is done using simulation procedure, and all the results are explained in tables.
Arab translators have always paid great attention to the translation of the Persian literary genres, in particular, contemporary Iranian novels. They have always translated for the most prominent Iranian novelists such as Jalal Al Ahmad, Sadiq Hidayat, Mahmoud Dowlatabadi, Bozorg Alavi, Ismail Fasih, Houshang Golshiri, Gholam-Hossein Saedi, Simin Daneshvar, Sadiq Chubak, Samad Behrangi and others that have succeeded in perfectly picturing the Iranian society.
Within the perspectives of Arab translators and by using the descriptive - analytical approach, the present study provides an analytical study of the translation into Arabic some of the modern Persian novels. Moreove
... Show Moreالتهاب الاوتار في الكتف من الإصابات الشائعة للاعبي الكراسي المتحركة والتي تحدث نتيجة للعادات والحركات الخاطئة والغير صحيحة وتحدث ايضاً بشكل متكرر في الرياضات الي تتطلب تحريك الذراع فوق الرأس مما يؤدي الى اضعاف الوتر أذ ان مفصل الكتف يعمل في كل الاتجاهات عندما تعاني الأوتار المحيطة بمفصل الكتف من الضعف وكثرة تكرار الحركة والضغط المسلط على العضلة اذ يطلق عليه التهاب اوتار الكتف والتي تحتاج الى فترة
... Show Moreهدفت الدراسة الى اعداد برنامج بدني لبعض النساء المصابات بتكيس المبايض بإعمار (20 -25) سنة، فضلاً عن التعرف على تأثير هذا البرنامج البدني في بعض المتغيرات الفسيولوجية قيد الدراسة ومقدار الإصابة بتكيس المبايض لدى عينة البحث، واتبعت الباحثتان المنهج التجريبي بتصميم المجموعة الواحدة ذات الاختبارين القبلي والبعدي لملائمتها طبيعة المشكلة واهداف الدراسة، فيما تمثلت عينة البحث باختيار 10 من النساء بأعمار 20 -2
... Show Moreهدف البحث الى اعداد تمرينات super site)) للاعبي الريشة الطائرة فئة الشباب ، ومعرفة تأثير التمرينات على بعض المؤشرات الفسيولوجية ومهارة الضربة الساحقة لدى لاعبي الريشة الطائرة فئة الشباب ، وتم تحديد مجتمع البحث من لاعبي الريشة الطائرة فئة الشباب لنادي الارمني وتم اختيار عينة البحث بالطريقة العمدية (8) لاعبين بالريشة الطائرة من النادي الارمني واستخدمت الباحثتان المنهج التجريبي ذو الاختبار القبلي والبعدي .ويهدف ال
... Show Moreهدف البحث الى اعداد تمرينات خاصة (Foot Work) بكرة القدم بأعمار (16-18) سنة، والتعرف على تأثير هذه التمرينات الخاصة في التوافق والرشاقة وبعض المهارات الاساسية بكرة القدم (المناولة، والدحرجة، والاخماد) بأعمار (16-18) سنة، وقام الباحثان باستخدام المنهج التجريبي ذو المجموعتين التجريبية والضابطة ذات الاختبار القبلي والبعدي، على عينة من لاعبي نادي الشرطة بأعمار (16-18) سنة، وعددهم (16)، وتم تقسيمهم الى مجموعتين كل مجموعة م
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