The grey system model GM(1,1) is the model of the prediction of the time series and the basis of the grey theory. This research presents the methods for estimating parameters of the grey model GM(1,1) is the accumulative method (ACC), the exponential method (EXP), modified exponential method (Mod EXP) and the Particle Swarm Optimization method (PSO). These methods were compared based on the Mean square error (MSE) and the Mean Absolute percentage error (MAPE) as a basis comparator and the simulation method was adopted for the best of the four methods, The best method was obtained and then applied to real data. This data represents the consumption rate of two types of oils a heavy fuel (HFO) and diesel fuel (D.O) and the use of tests to confirm the accuracy of the grey model. After obtaining the results, the best method to estimate the parameters of the grey model GM(1,1) is the method of the Particle Swarm Optimization method (PSO) It has been used to treatment the missing values in the data and in the prediction where it has been shown to have the best results
يهدف هذا البحث إلى دراسة مسببات الصراع، والتي شملت (المصالح الشخصية، التمايز المهني والوظيفي، ضعف التنسيق والتعاون وسوء تحديد الواجبات ووصف العمل)، وأثرها في قرارات المستشفى التي شملت (مدى تحقيق الأهداف، خدمة المريض وإرضاءه، كفاءة استخدام الموارد المتاحة، ومكافأة العاملين وتحفيزهم).
لقد تم اختيار مستشفى بغداد التعليمي ومستشفى غازي الحريري التابعتين لدا
... Show MoreIt reflects the gross domestic product in any country total output of goods and services by the size of the country's citizens and foreign residents during the period of the year and reflect the contribution of the commodity sectors of the economy and the distribution and service in the composition of output. And gross domestic product in Iraq as an indicator dominated in the composition of oil output, along with the contribution of the service sector, as the gross domestic product is the output of a yield lien and subjected GDP in Iraq to a series of declines succession due to vibrations of the oil market during the economic blockade on the one hand and stop imported production inputs, lack of arriving in commodity s
... Show Moreلقد حضر في هذا البحث عدد من المعقدات الجديدة لبعض ايونات العناصر الانتقالية وهي كل من Fe(II) , Fe(III) , Co(II) , Ni(II) , Cu(II) و Zn(II) مع الكاشف العضوي -4 ( -2 بريديل آزو ) ريزورسينول المعروف ب (PAR) . حيث تم التحضير بعد تثبيت الظروف المثلى من دالة حامضية وتركيز مولاري بوساطة أطياف الاشعة فوق البنفسجية – المرئية لمحاليل مزج الايونات الفلزية مع محاليل الكاشف العضوي اعلاه ولمدى واسع من الدالة الحامضية والتركيز المولارية الخاضعة لقانو
... Show Moreيعد الاهتمام بأصحاب الهمم مطلب ديني لجميع الأديان ومطلب اجتماعي لانهم جزء أساسي من المجتمع ينبغي ان يحصلوا على فرصتهم وحقوقهم كباقي افراد المجتمع، فضلا عن كونه مطلب تربوي، إذ يعاني التلاميذ أصحاب الهمم من مشكلات عديدة وذلك لا سباب ترجع لخصائصهم وصفاتهم الخاصة التي ولدوا بها أو اكتسبوها بعد الولادة لسبب من الأسباب، لذا نجدهم يعانون من صعوبات في اكتساب المهارات والخبرات الحياتية بصورة عامة والتعليمية بصورة
... Show MoreWar was and remains one of the main instruments for the practice of international relations, and has always been a major focus of the study of international relations. War, such as diplomacy, propaganda, etc., is an instrument of national politics. States have used wars to achieve their goals and aspirations and achieve their national interests. War and peace issues are essential to understanding international relations. They are questions that involve the problem of survival.
Today the term "war" is used in many different ways. We talk about Cold War, Hot War, Limited War, Total War, Conventional War, Unconventional War, Civil War, Gang War, Preventive War etc. However, the war continued to exist, and took various forms.
... Show MoreThe aim of the research to measure the correlation relationship between modern manufacturing systems and process design and measure the effect by adopting the regression; the research consists of two main variables, which are modern manufacturing systems and process design; it was applied in the production lines of the General Company for Construction Industries, There is a sample of managers, engineers, technicians, administrators, and some workers were selected to fill the special questionnaire with (70) forms which distributed and (65) were approved suitable for use, For data analysis the correlation coefficient was adopted to measure the relationship and regression analysis to find out the effect, Using (SPSS), So the first h
... Show MoreInterest in the teaching profession is one of the most important steps on the road to education reform to develop the quality of education is not only through the teacher's professional competencies required, interest in the teaching profession in any society stems from fingerprints left by the teacher on his behavior and morals and their minds and their personalities. Today we are going to provide scientific, technical and research is enormous, we need more powerful skills and ways of thinking that must be acquired by the teacher. The current search is gaining importance in terms of:
- This is the first of its kind on the researcher's knowledge _ which deals with the modern trends in t
The aim of the research is to identify the cognitive method (rigidity flexibility) of third-stage students in the collage of Physical Education and Sports Sciences at The University of Baghdad, as well as to recognize the impact of using the McCarthy model in learning some of skills in gymnastics, as well as to identify the best groups in learning skills, the experimental curriculum was used to design equal groups with pre test and post test and the research community was identified by third-stage students in academic year (2020-2021), the subject was randomly selected two divisions after which the measure of cognitive method was distributed to the sample, so the subject (32) students were distributed in four groups, and which the pre te
... Show MoreInfluence of combined square nozzle with helical tape inserted in a constant heat flux tube on heat transfer enhancement for turbulent airflow for Reynolds number ranging from 7000 to 14500 were investigated experimentally. Three different pitch ratios for square nozzle (PR = 5.8, 7.7 and 11.6) according to three different numbers of square nozzle (N = 3, 4 and 5) and constant pitch ratios for helical tape were used. The results observed that the Nusselt number and friction factor for combination with winglets were found to be up to 33.8 % and 21.4 %, respectively higher than nozzle alone for pitch ratio PR=5.8. The maximum value of thermal performance for using combination with winglets was about 1.351 for pitch ratio= 5.8. Nusselt numb
... Show Moreيهدف البحث الحالي إلى قياس مستوى تطبيق معايير الابلاغ المالي الدولية المستندة إلىمدخل الأصل-الالتزام في سوق العراق للأوراق المالية، حيث ركز البحث الحالي على أبرز معاييرالابلاغ المالي الدولية" التي استندت إلى مدخل الأصل-الالتزام لاسيما معيار اإببلاغ المالي الدولي (، إذ اعد الباحثان استمارة فحص مكونة من ) 13 ( فقرة من متطلبات تطبيق معيار اإببلاغ (المالي الدولي ) 9( لاختبار مستوى تطبيق المعيار المذكور في ا
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