The grey system model GM(1,1) is the model of the prediction of the time series and the basis of the grey theory. This research presents the methods for estimating parameters of the grey model GM(1,1) is the accumulative method (ACC), the exponential method (EXP), modified exponential method (Mod EXP) and the Particle Swarm Optimization method (PSO). These methods were compared based on the Mean square error (MSE) and the Mean Absolute percentage error (MAPE) as a basis comparator and the simulation method was adopted for the best of the four methods, The best method was obtained and then applied to real data. This data represents the consumption rate of two types of oils a heavy fuel (HFO) and diesel fuel (D.O) and the use of tests to confirm the accuracy of the grey model. After obtaining the results, the best method to estimate the parameters of the grey model GM(1,1) is the method of the Particle Swarm Optimization method (PSO) It has been used to treatment the missing values in the data and in the prediction where it has been shown to have the best results
In this paper, the generalized inverted exponential distribution is considered as one of the most important distributions in studying failure times. A shape and scale parameters of the distribution have been estimated after removing the fuzziness that characterizes its data because they are triangular fuzzy numbers. To convert the fuzzy data to crisp data the researcher has used the centroid method. Hence the studied distribution has two parameters which show a difficulty in separating and estimating them directly of the MLE method. The Newton-Raphson method has been used.
... Show Moreتشير التحليلات الى ان الملاكم يحتاج الى جميع القدرات البدنية والحركية تقريبا وبنسب معينة على وفق الاداء ونوعية وطريقة لعب الملاكم فضلا عن الوقت من الجولة وفي اي جولة، واخيرا نوع المنافس. وهذا التبادل بين الدفاع والهجوم والانتقال يكون كبيرا جدا في اثناء المباراة ، وهذا الامر يحتاج الى امتلاك الملاكم قدرات بدنية وحركية ذات خصوصية لا تجدها في العاب اخرى. وكون الباحثان قد مارسا اللعبة، فقد طرحا السؤال الاتي:
... Show Moreالمالكي، فاطمة عبد مالح مطر ونور حاتم رضا وأسيل ناجي فهد. 2017. تصميم و تصنيع جهاز لقياس القدرة الحركية البصرية لحركة الطعن بسلاح الشيش. مجلة دراسات و بحوث التربية الرياضية،مج. 2017، ع. 53.
The simulation is the oldest theory in art, since it appeared in the Greek aesthetic thought of the philosopher Plato, as we find in many of the thinkers and philosophers over a wide period of time to reach our world today. Our fascination with art in general and design art in particular is due to the creativity and innovations of the artist through the simulation, as well as the peculiarities in this simulation, which give objects signs and signals that may have an echo that sometimes does not exist in their physical reality.
The real representation of life and design construction, descriptions of the expression of each of them in the form of intellectual construction and the ideas of producti
... Show MoreThis research deals with the topic (Fantasy Parody in the Design of the Advertisement) in view of the important role that fantasia plays in designing the most creative and attractive advertisements to the recipients. The research problem lies in accordance with the following question:
What is the Fantasy Parody in the Design of the Advertisement?
It means the imagination, the unfamiliar; and features that emerge for it that distinguish it from other concepts. Fantasy advertisement is creativity in innovative ways, either through collage, merging, or the use of various artistic expressions in terms of intellectual and cultural awareness. When uses in the parody of advertisement, it has helped to come up with an aesthetic experie
Simulation experiments are a means of solving in many fields, and it is the process of designing a model of the real system in order to follow it and identify its behavior through certain models and formulas written according to a repeating software style with a number of iterations. The aim of this study is to build a model that deals with the behavior suffering from the state of (heteroskedasticity) by studying the models (APGARCH & NAGARCH) using (Gaussian) and (Non-Gaussian) distributions for different sample sizes (500,1000,1500,2000) through the stage of time series analysis (identification , estimation, diagnostic checking and prediction). The data was generated using the estimations of the parameters resulting f
... Show Moreمن خلال كون الباحثان قد اشرفا على تدريب المركز الوطني لرعاية الموهوبين بالملاكمة، فضلا عن الاطلاع على المناهج التدريبية لبعض المدربين لحظا اقتصار تدريبات المرونة على اسلوب واحد فقط هو اسلوب الضغط على المفاصل بعدد من التكرارات، وعلى ذلك قام الباحثان باستخدام ثلاثة اساليب تدريبية تم تطبيقها على ثلاثة مجموعات وهي اسلوب الاطالة الحركية الارتدادية واسلوب الاطالة الثابتة واسلوب الانقباض الارتخاء الاطالة، وبعد
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