The grey system model GM(1,1) is the model of the prediction of the time series and the basis of the grey theory. This research presents the methods for estimating parameters of the grey model GM(1,1) is the accumulative method (ACC), the exponential method (EXP), modified exponential method (Mod EXP) and the Particle Swarm Optimization method (PSO). These methods were compared based on the Mean square error (MSE) and the Mean Absolute percentage error (MAPE) as a basis comparator and the simulation method was adopted for the best of the four methods, The best method was obtained and then applied to real data. This data represents the consumption rate of two types of oils a heavy fuel (HFO) and diesel fuel (D.O) and the use of tests to confirm the accuracy of the grey model. After obtaining the results, the best method to estimate the parameters of the grey model GM(1,1) is the method of the Particle Swarm Optimization method (PSO) It has been used to treatment the missing values in the data and in the prediction where it has been shown to have the best results
Abstract
Due to the momentum of winning in the streets of the city of Baghdad as a result of the large number of checkpoints so felt researcher to conduct a field visit to find out the main reasons that led to this congestion and to find practical solutions to mitigate wastage winning the arrival time citizen to where you want the least possible time.
This research aims to overcome the difficulties experienced by citizens to reach their places of work and reduce waste at the time of service and waiting time as well as reduce the cost of waiting.
Has emerged study a set of conclusions, including the use of model queue (G / G / C) and the mome
... Show MoreMeaning letters in Arabic are characterized by the diversity and abundance of their linguistic material, and are also distinguished by their large number and types, to the point that some of them have reached a hundred letters confined to five categories
We conclude that this study has dealt with an important aspect of the book that was not clearly defined in the book as it was derived through the book's translations, namely, the extraction of those urban structures of the city of Baghdad, which were of great importance in the religious, cultural, economic and social life at that time, The important link that reflected the development of the Islamic city in general and Baghdad in particular, as he addressed such urban facilities through the translations of the book that did not offer the outline or information about those facilities, but only the name only, and here lies the difficulty in addressing Such as T. As subjects because they need the most accurate analysis of facilities t
... Show MoreThis research aims to find out the extent the reflection of tacit knowledge dimensions (experience, skill, intuition, the ability to think) on Organizational performance of the offices of inspectors general dimensions (internal processes, growth and learning the focus, the focus on the customer) and the measurement and analysis of the type of impact the tacit knowledge of auditors on performance Organizational in inspectors general offices, the research seeks to diagnose the extent of awareness of Office Management knowledge implicit and the attention span of the administration in determining levels and performance levels, and the resolution means the main information-gathering adopted by the researcher, which, as well as his exp
... Show MoreThe aim of the research is to identify learning difficulties and their role in children's perception of self-concept. The researcher adopted the descriptive and analytical approach method in this study. A questionnaire was designed by the researcher to collect some related information such as biodata, family, health, diagnostic and behavioral patterns of the case. In addition, the researcher adopted the scale of learning difficulties for elementary school students prepared by Zaidan Ahmed Al-Sartawi (1995), the scale of student appreciation for the survey of learning difficulties for primary school students by Michael Best, which was translated to the Arabic language by (Saeed Abdullah Debis). The researcher adopted also the Self-Concept
... Show Moreتكمن أهمية البحث بدراسة أهم المتغيرات البايوكينماتيكية المؤثرة في أنجاز فعالية قذف الثقل ومحاولة معرفة نسبة مساهمة كل متغير بايوكينماتيكي بدلالة إنجاز قذف الثقل للاعبين المتقدمين ، لعدم وجود أية دراسة على حد علم الباحثان قد تناولت المتغيرات البايوكينماتيكية ومحاولة معرفة نسب مساهمتها بدلالة إنجاز فعالية قذف الثقل ويهدف البحث إلى التعرف على أهم المتغيرات البايوكينماتيكية للاعبين المتقدمين بفعالية قذف ال
... Show MoreImam al - Karji replies to some Islamic groups
In his book the jokes of the Koran
Language contains various kinds of grammatical rules that are used to express thoughts and feelings. The present paper studies some of the German language grammatical rules as being the most important basics needed to master and develop the art of writing for the German language learners. Writing is one of the productive language learning skills that transform thoughts into a written form. Hence, constant exercising on the use of the language to master the grammatical rules enables German language learners to develop their creative writing skills.
The present study discusses the importance of grammatical exercises in developing the language learning abilities. The study provides a gener
... Show Moreالملخص: لتحقيق أهداف البحث قامت الباحثتان ببناء مقياس للتفكك الاسري اعتمادا على نظرية (باندورا) وتكون بصورته النهائية من (24) فقرة ، وطبق المقياس على عينة البحث البالغة (150) تلميذ وتلميذة تم اختيارهم بالطريقة العشوائية البسيطة من مجتمع البحث ،وبعد جمع البيانات تم معالجتها باستعمال الوسائل الإحصائية منها الاختبار التائي، وتحليل التباين الرباعي والاختبار الفائي، وتوصل البحث الى النتائج الأتية :ان أفراد عينة ال
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