The grey system model GM(1,1) is the model of the prediction of the time series and the basis of the grey theory. This research presents the methods for estimating parameters of the grey model GM(1,1) is the accumulative method (ACC), the exponential method (EXP), modified exponential method (Mod EXP) and the Particle Swarm Optimization method (PSO). These methods were compared based on the Mean square error (MSE) and the Mean Absolute percentage error (MAPE) as a basis comparator and the simulation method was adopted for the best of the four methods, The best method was obtained and then applied to real data. This data represents the consumption rate of two types of oils a heavy fuel (HFO) and diesel fuel (D.O) and the use of tests to confirm the accuracy of the grey model. After obtaining the results, the best method to estimate the parameters of the grey model GM(1,1) is the method of the Particle Swarm Optimization method (PSO) It has been used to treatment the missing values in the data and in the prediction where it has been shown to have the best results
Despite all the possibilities, owned by Iraq for the production of fish, but there is low in the level of production and in the rate of per capita consumption is due to inter alia, the weakness of investment, stop government support, a significant decline in the quantities of water, the high proportion of salinity and the proportion of pollution in the water, the use of means and fishing methods are primitive, weak laws and legislation, the policy of dumping markets imported products. Despite all this research has shown that there are investment opportunities very large in this sector through the size of the market and the absorptive capacity and the growth of per capita income and cultural revelation
Diabetes mellitus caused by insulin resistance is prompted by obesity. Neuropeptide Nesfatin-1 was identified in several organs, including the central nervous system and pancreatic islet cells. Nesfatin-1 peptide appears to be involved in hypothalamic circuits that energy homeostasis and control food intake. Adiponectin is a plasma collagen-like protein produced by adipocytes that have been linked to the development of insulin resistance (IR), diabetes mellitus type 2 (DMT2), and cardiovascular disease (CVD). Resistin was first identified as an adipose tissue–specific hormone that was linked to obesity and diabetes. The aim of this study was to estimate the relationship between human serum nesfatin-1, adiponect
... Show MoreBy driven the moment estimator of ARMA (1, 1) and by using the simulation some important notice are founded, From the more notice conclusions that the relation between the sign and moment estimator for ARMA (1, 1) model that is: when the sign is positive means the root gives invertible model and when the sign is negative means the root gives invertible model. An alternative method has been suggested for ARMA (0, 1) model can be suitable when
طريقة التنفس الانفي البديل تتم عن طريق الشهيق من فتحة الانف اليسرى والزفير من اليمنى ثم الشهيق من اليمنى والزفير من اليسرى مع تكرار العملية، واستخدم الباحث هذه الطريقة للتعرف على الاستشفاء للملاكمين بدلالة النبض خلال فترة الراحة بين الجولات، وشملت عينة البحث على ملاكمين من فئة الشباب وعددهم (9) ملاكين بمعدل اعمار (17.45) وبعد اخضاعهم الى طريقة الاستشفاء الاعتيادية وطريقة التنفس الانفي البديل خلال الراحة ب
... Show MoreThe issue of penalized regression model has received considerable critical attention to variable selection. It plays an essential role in dealing with high dimensional data. Arctangent denoted by the Atan penalty has been used in both estimation and variable selection as an efficient method recently. However, the Atan penalty is very sensitive to outliers in response to variables or heavy-tailed error distribution. While the least absolute deviation is a good method to get robustness in regression estimation. The specific objective of this research is to propose a robust Atan estimator from combining these two ideas at once. Simulation experiments and real data applications show that the p
... Show Moreيعد نظام الإدارة البيئية ( EMS ) على وفق المواصفة ISO 14001:2015 من الانظمة الإدارية الحديثة والمهمة في وقتنا الحالي، اذ هو أحد أدوات الأدارة البيئية بعّده مدخلاً للمعالجة أو الحد من المخاطر البيئية وآثارها، وبالخصوص الاثار الناجمة من الصناعة النفطية والتي تعد المصدر الرئيس للتلوث البيئي وهدر ونفاذ الموارد الطبيعية. تتجلى مشكلة الدراسة في ضعف عملية تشخيص والحد من مخاطر الج
... Show MoreFootball has progressed from being a ritual and a celebration to become an amateur sport, a professional sport, and now, increasingly, a commercial sport. In the analysis of football business model, the systemic approach should be adopted. If sport is regarded as one of the business sectors, then the application of business system methodology can be fully justified. The interest to create strong football business system calls for the search of the ways of popularizing football business model and boosting the economic potential of its participants. In the research literature tend to ignore the business processes within the sports business. Besides, the systemic approach in football business is usually limited to p
... Show Moreلاهمية التوزيع المختلط في التعبيرعن التوزيعات الاحتمالية للمتغيرات العشوائية المختلطة من النوعين المتقطع والمستمر ، حيث انها تاخذ قيم أحتمالية موجبة عن نقاط معرفة لقيم x
وتاخذ دالة او قيم اخرى عندما تقع x ضمن مجال معين .(Interval)
وحاول
... Show Moreيسهم التدريب الرياضى بصفه عامه فى الانشطه الرياضيه المختلفه وفى الكرة الطائره بشكل بصفه خاصه اسهاما بارزا لتحقيق المستويات المتقدمه ويهدف البحث الى اعداد منهجين تجريبين للتدريب الكروس فت باسلوبي الاتجاه الموحد والمتعددوقد اجري البحث على عينه قوامها (12)لاعبا شابا من نادي الصناعه الرياضى ولقد قسموا الى مجموعتين متساويتن اذ تم تطبيق المجموعه الاولى باسلوب الاتجاه الموحد والمجموعه الثانيه باسلوب ا
... Show Moreتركت العولمة المتسارعة أثرا عميقا على مدى واسع من السياسات والتطبيقات الاقتصادية في كل من الدول النامية والمتقدمة على حد سواء, إذ نشأت الأنظمة الضريبية الحالية عندما نمّط كل بلد سياسته الضريبية بشكل تركز معه على متطلبات الاقتصاد المحلي, وعندما كانت تعقد المفاوضات بين الأمم المختلفة حول المعاملات الضريبية والاتفاقات الضريبية كانت تجري في إطار من هيمنة السياسة الضريبية المحلية.
لكن العولم
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