تناولنا في بحثنا أحد اساليب البرمجة الخطية وهي الطريقة المبسطة لتقدير معلمات انموذج الانحدار الخطي عن طريق اختيار دالة الهدف التي تعمل على تقليل الحد الادنى لمجموع الاخطاء الناتجة من تقدير المعلمات بطريقة المربعات الصغرى الاعتيادية ( OLS) حيث سيتم في الطريقة المبسطة ( simplex) فرض قيود على نفس الاخطاء نفسها بهدف تصغيرها الى اقل ما يمكن للحصول على تقديرات افضل لمعلمات انموذج الانحدار الخطي . على اساس ان طريقة المربعات الصغرى الاعتيادية هي محاولة لتقدير معلمات انموذج الانحدار الخطي عن طريق تقليل مجموع المربعات من الاخطاء الى اقل مايمكن للحصول على افضل تقدير لتلك المعلمات. باستخدام اسلوب المحاكاة التجريبي لتوليد بيانات من انموذج الانحدار الخطي المفترض ومائة عينة تمت مقارنة النتائج تقديرات المعلمات بطريقة المربعات الصغرى الاعتيادية مع نتائج الطريقة المبسطة لتصغير مجموع الاخطاء مع وضع قيود على تلك الاخطاء . ومن خلال هذا البحث يمكن ان نستنتج ان طريقة المبسطة تعطي نتائج افضل في تقدير معلمات انموذج الانحدار الخطي من طريقة المربعات الصغرى الاعتيادية ضمن حالات مختلفة تم عرضها في الجانب التجريبي في المحاكاة . تضمن البحث ايضا موضوع تحليل الاتجاهات الزمنية باستخدام الطريقة المبسطة في انتاج وتسويق التمور في العراق كون هذا المحصول يشكل اهمية كبيرة في الدراسات الاقتصادية لما لها من علاقة وثيقة بموضوع الامن الغذائي .
The study investigates the relationship between the volatility of the Iraqi Stock Exchange Index (ISX), and the volatility of global oil prices benchmarks, Brent and West Intermediate Texas (WTI), in additional to the Iraqi Oil, Basra Crude Light (BSL) which represents the most exported Iraqi oil and the major influential factor on the Iraqi governmental revenues. Using monthly data covering the period: 1/2005-12/1205, econometrical and technical tools represented by Co-incretion, Vector Error Correction Model – VECM, Granger Causality, and Bollinger band were employed in order to explore the relationship between the variables.
The econometric analysis revealed the impact of the oil prices volatility on
... Show MoreThe aim of present study is to determine the optimum parameters of friction stir welding process and known the most important parameter along with percentage contribution of each parameter which effect on tensile strength and joint efficiency of FS welded joint of dissimilar aluminum alloys AA2024-T3 and AA7075-T73 of 3 mm thick plates by applied specific number of experiments using Taguchi method .AA2024 was placed on the advancing side and AA7075 on the retreating side. FSW was achieved under three different rotation speeds (898, 1200 and 1710) rpm, three different welding speeds (20, 45 and 69) mm\min , three different pin profiles (cylindrical, threaded cylindrical and cone) and tool tilt angle 2◦. Taguchi method w
... Show MoreThe prediction process of time series for some time-related phenomena, in particular, the autoregressive integrated moving average(ARIMA) models is one of the important topics in the theory of time series analysis in the applied statistics. Perhaps its importance lies in the basic stages in analyzing of the structure or modeling and the conditions that must be provided in the stochastic process. This paper deals with two methods of predicting the first was a special case of autoregressive integrated moving average which is ARIMA (0,1,1) if the value of the parameter equal to zero, then it is called Random Walk model, the second was the exponential weighted moving average (EWMA). It was implemented in the data of the monthly traff
... Show MoreGiven the importance that the Iraqi banking system in general and Islamic banks in particular, there must be effective supervisory oversight of these banks, as supervisory oversight has an essential and effective role in the development and evaluation of the performance of banks, through the application of legal controls and rules. Banking aimed at making sure that its financial centers are safe, protecting depositors' funds, and achieving both monetary and economic stability. This research studied and evaluates the mechanisms and tools used by the Central Bank of Iraq in the supervision and supervision of these banks. Therefore, the research aimed to measure the type and direction of the relationship between the requirements of supervis
... Show MoreFinancial inclusion refers to the access of financial services at low cost and high-quality from the formal financial sector to all segments of society, especially marginalized groups, and then use and benefit from them. Financial inclusion is also associated with banking stability, as well as with financial integrity and financial protection for the consumer, therefore, it achieves a number of objectives, the most important of which is to support and enhance banking stability. This is what made it attract the attention of many countries and central banks recently.
The study aims to show the impact of financial inclusion indicators on ban
... Show Moreساهم توافد العمالة الأجنبية في تفاقم مشكلة البطالة في العراق الذي يستقبل المئات منهم سنوياً، في ظل تخرج آلاف الطلاب من الجامعات العراقية وانطلاقهم إلى سوق العمل بالتزامن مع عدم تنشيط دور القطاع الخاص بسبب التجاذبات السياسية والأوضاع الاقتصادية والأمنية التي أثرت بشكل كبير في تفعيله وجذب المستثمرين، وعلى رغم ذلك استمر توافد العمالة الأجنبية التي وجدت في العراق عبارة عن فرص ثمينة لا سيما في قطاع الخدمات، مما
... Show MoreIt is weII known that Iraq was alerted to the fact the need to catch up with globalization and the need to attract foreign investment , perhaps the solutions is able to or control over its economic problems which centers on the problem pf unemployment .
Imposing the Investment Law No (13) for the year 2006 is the most basic steps to attract foreign investment through Madmen Law of incentives KaIiafaouat tax , it must be the study of those exemptions and compare them with tax exemptions for some of the investment Laws of the Arab countries as one investment Lebanese , Jordanian and Egyptian that we have the knowledge Marvel Law Iraqi investment in respect of such &
... Show Moreمفهومية فن الفخار في عصور قبل التاريخ في العراق
Improving the environment is a mission that should be conducted by three associates; public authorities, environmentalists and the community. The ignorance of environmental education in Iraq has resulted to an almost environmentally illiterate community, demanding well planned programs to raise their environmental; awareness and education. On the other hand, the decision makers should be well informed about the citizens' environmental preferences to be able to set their priorities for the civil services. Merging the Iraqi citizens in listing their environmental priorities is one of many other approaches for "Environment Education" programs. Globally, such methods have proven to be effective and resulted to widespread understandin
... Show MoreIraq has the distinction of being a great potential of non-renewable natural resources,
especially crude oil and natural gas. Since the discovery of crude oil at the beginning of the
twentieth century in Iraq. Although the different of investment types, it contributed to the oil
sector in the provision of financial resources to the state treasury , since that date until the
present time.
Search has been marked by division ((The foreign investment in the oil sector in Iraq after
2003)) into three sections. The first section included a brief history of the development of
Iraq's oil potential in terms of oil reserves, and oil fields, and the quantities of production and
export. The second section reviewed the investm