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تحليل وقياس الاستدامة المالية لصندوق التقاعد والضمان الاجتماعي في العراق للمدة 2004-2018
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يعد تحليل السلاسل الزمنية من المواضـيع الهامة في تفسير الظـواهر التي تحدث خلال فترة زمنية معينة. ان الهدف من هذا لتحليل هو الحصـول على وصف وبنـاء أنموذج مناسب من اجل اعطاء صورة مستقبلية واضحة للسلاسل الزمنية المدروسة وان السلاسل الزمنية اهم الادوات المستخدمة في بناء وتقدير والتنبؤ بالظواهر المختلفة وان الاستدامة المالية هي الحالة التي تكون فيها الدولة قادرة على الوفاء بالتزاماتها الحالية والمستقبلية من غير تغيير سياساتها اذ تعتبر من اهم المشاكل التي تواجه الصندوق لارتفاع اعداد الخارجين من الخدمة وارتفاع اعداد المتقاعدين مما يتسبب في ارتفاع حجم انفاق صندوق التقاعد والضمان الاجتماعي ولاعتماد الصندوق على ايرادات الاشتراكات التي يعتمد عليها بشكل شبه تام في تمويل الصندوق اذ استخدمت خصائص السلاسل الزمنية واختبار التكامل المشترك وانموذج متجه تصحيح الخطأ Vector Error Correction Model ومن ثم المقارنة من خلال المعايير,Sum Square Error Root Mean Square Error لإيجاد افضل انموذج من نماذج التمهيد الاسي للتنبؤ بالقيم المستقبلية، اذ تم التوصل الى ان السلاسل الزمنية (الانفاق والايراد) ساكنة بعد اخذ الفرق الاول وفق Augmented Dickey Fuller وتوصل البحث الى ان فترة الابطاء المثلى هي الفترة الثالثة بالاعتماد على معيار Akaike Information Criterion واشار اختبار Johansen – Juselius الى وجود علاقة توازنية طويلة الاجل بين المتغيرات وان هناك علاقة متجه من الايراد الى الانفاق وفق Vector Error Correction Model لان معلمة تصحيح حد الخطأ سالبة ومعنوية وان انموذج متجه تصحيح الخطأ بين نفقات وايرادات الصندوق خالي من مشكلة الارتباط المتسلسل وخالي من مشكلة عدم تجانس التباين وان افضل انموذج للتنبؤ للمتغيرات البحث هو التمهيد الاسي لمعلمتي هولت لأنه اعطى نتائج دقيقة وقريبة من القيم الحقيقية.

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Publication Date
Fri Jun 30 2023
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
Financial policy in the caliphate of Imam Ali (peace be upon him)
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Praise be to God who has guided us, and we would not have been guided had it not been for the guidance of God Almighty. The life of the Commander of the Faithful, Imam Ali bin Abi Talib, peace be upon him, represented the highest meanings of sacrifice, redemption, courage, heroism, patience, altruism, and truth, which were embodied in his unique personality, whose counterpart is rare, if not unparalleled in history. Except for the person of the Holy Prophet Muhammad (may God bless him and his family and grant them peace). In this research, we have presented pictures from the life of Imam Ali bin Abi Talib (peace be upon him), as we have clarified his life, upbringing, conversion to Islam and his ma

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Publication Date
Thu Dec 01 2011
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Commercial banks in Iraq had applied in practice different forms of its activities upon surplus funds that deposited from individual, firms and many governments units
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These deposits take many forms like current acc, deposits in order to growth and serve national economy Various in varicose perspectives .

The problem of this paper its concern with un applied the mathematical models that used in profitability analysis of current acc , and deposits in view of risk, profit efficiency and financial leverage for this reason the paper discussion use the cumulate mathematical model to solve these problem, that content three variables that be used to measuring profitability by consequent replacement method by stable base and by moving base for 2007 – 2009 applied the data collect from Iraq middle east bank.           &nbs

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Publication Date
Fri Feb 08 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Randomand and social security
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The problem of informal settlements in Iraqi is one of the most serious problems due
to its economic, social and security impacts which jeopardize the society safety and stability.
This study investigates the present situation of informal settlements in the Baghdad
governorates as well as approaches followed in making decisions to either upgrade or remove
those areas. Requirements of each decision are also discussed.
Study methods relied on both office and field studies to collect data and information
needed. The study revealed important findings that would help take appropriate measures that
deal with the informal settlements in Iraqi. The study also proposes effective mechanisms to
preclude both an increase in c

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Publication Date
Tue Sep 27 2022
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
Applications of social networking sites: Research Tools
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Media and communication's research are varied in accordance to research approaches' variety which seeks to reach convergent social, psychological, political, economic, and technical point of views. Its main aim is to assimilate all the new variables in the communicative method, especially, social media sites research; concerning their methodology, tools and theories. It is due to their diverse - developed applications and their increased rates of public use becoming irreplaceable in our daily life. It is well reflected by their consequent impact on the the public beside their role in changing its views.

This clarifies the notable increase of scientific research that concern them manifesting the dialectica

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Publication Date
Wed Mar 30 2016
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
Community organization and its impact On social security
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The world went through turmoil before the sixth century AD, and human societies were in conflict and rivalry, each strong state is a weak state-dependent, but the dominant societies made the slave societies to them .. And thus made many societies or civilizations system of classes, and differentiation between members of one community, Weakened its strength and go alone. As the Islamic society in the present weak and weak and falling to the lowest levels of civilizational underdevelopment in the organization of society and social security contrary to what it was Islamic civilization, because of our distance from the heavenly instructions, and this prompted many to walk behind Western ideas aimed at the demolition of Islamic civilization,

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Publication Date
Thu Jan 31 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The role of social worker and service and social school
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Concert place high school in the community Keep pace with societal change and what is going through Iraqi society from the wars and occupation and the sectarian and ethnic conflict and authoritarian policies and Dictator ship .
This is the circumstance of the most important historical stages that require .
Precision sons is Keep up with the progress and development and the advancement of the educational march .
The school is a social institution that organizes the members of society all walks of life and their habitats working on crafting members of the extraordinary alve of progress At the multiplicity of functions and tasks school pequires members qualified scientific and practical Becomes complementary members seek progress a

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Publication Date
Sun Jun 30 2013
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
Community organization and its impact on social security
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Praise be to God, Lord of the worlds, and prayers and peace be upon our master Muhammad and upon his family and companions.
       We see human societies differ from one society to another in organizing social life, and each according to the foundations and rules prepared by the main thing in the welfare and prosperity.
That is why we see eastern societies differ from western societies in many patterns and various ways of reaching that sophistication, until Islam came and gave the proper model in raising society at that time to the best and highest social levels, because it is based on heavenly rules and foundations and not status as in previous civilizations.
And when the Islamic community has

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Publication Date
Thu Feb 24 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
Statistical analysis from a Gender perspective
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This research is a theoretical study that deals with the presentation of the literature of statistical analysis from the perspective of gender or what is called Engendering Statistics. The researcher relied on a number of UN reports as well as some foreign sources to conduct the current study. Gender statistics are defined as statistics that reflect the differences and inequality of the status of women and men overall domains of life, and their importance stems from the fact that it is an important tool in promoting equality as a necessity for the process of sustainable development and the formulation of national and effective development policies and programs. The empowerment of women and the achievement of equality between men and wome

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Publication Date
Wed Oct 01 2008
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
الانتماء الاجتماعي وعلاقته بالاذعان لدى المسنين
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لايمكن للفرد أن يعيش منعزلا عن الآخرين لأنه بحاجة إلى أن يتفاعل مع غيره لتسهيل مستلزمات معيشته ، لذا يعد الانتماء الاجتماعي احد الحاجات النفسية

الاجتماعية المهمة في حياة الفرد من خلال رغبة الفرد في أن ينتمي إلى الآخرين سواء كانوا أسرة أو أصدقاء أو مهنة أو وطن للوصول إلى الهدف الذي يريد أن يحققه و المتمثل في الوصول إلى حالة من الأمن النفسي للفرد و هي تبحث عن وسيلة إشباع من خلال العيش مع مجموع

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 03 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
التفاعل الاجتماعي لدى طلبة المرحلة الإعدادية
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Man derives his sense of his humanity through contact with others, he needs them to enhance the continued existence and enter into personal relationships in order to enrich his being, it says Murray (in the presence of necessary physical and social cultural center and it cannot be in isolation).

      And equal to deprive an individual of talking with others and participation in the life stripped of his humanity, nor has achieved a sense of satisfaction, security, love and friendship, but through belonging to the group, which lies in the psychological composition.

      The most important

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