Time series have gained great importance and have been applied in a manner in the economic, financial, health and social fields and used in the analysis through studying the changes and forecasting the future of the phenomenon. One of the most important models of the black box is the "ARMAX" model, which is a mixed model consisting of self-regression with moving averages with external inputs. It consists of several stages, namely determining the rank of the model and the process of estimating the parameters of the model and then the prediction process to know the amount of compensation granted to workers in the future in order to fulfil the future obligations of the Fund. , And using the regular least squares method and the frequ

الشيخ الحاج محمد الأمين، من الشخصيات التي كتبت بعلامات بارزة تاريخ شعبها والمنطقة، من خلال مقاومة الاحتلال الفرنسي الصليبي في السودان الغربي، ونشره الاسلام بين القبائل الوثنية، القاطنة هناك  و قيادة حركة قومية إسلامية لإعادة أمجاد الشعب السراكولا ،وإحياء إمبراطورية غانا الإسلامية والتي كانت تشكل الجزء الأغلب من السودان الغربي.   

Employing the social personalities (celebrities) in all fields (artistic, sports, media, etc.) is an important media and visual communication means of identification for the companies and institutions in order to convey the advertising idea in accordance with the creative, aesthetic and functional principles aimed at promoting products and gaining the symbolic value for the company. This study investigates the employment of social personalities in the commercial advertising design in order to pinpoint the importance of employing celebrities and their representation in the advertisement to convey the meaning that signifies the advertisement goal. Thus the question of the study is: "What are the mechanisms of employing celebrities in the d

This search aims to meditate Divan of Hazem Al-Qirtagni his incomplete contiguous and non-contiguous naturalizations are investigated through two interrelated sections, the first is contiguous deficient naturalization and the analysis of phonemic symmetry in the light of syntactic syntax

Since her early beginning in 1974 in her novel "Les armoires vides", Annie Ernaux writing about life in all its various aspects remained her main goal. This novel gave the earliest signals of what would happen later on in her literary career. Indeed, her works showed abilities of echoing reality, her sufferance and experiences via the use of simple and clear language. Add to this, her writings are to be viewed as an expression of deep felt journey, and a continuous search due to the consequent changes coming out of her identity.

    We try here to give an answer to the question about writing as to whether being, to Ernaux herself, a need for the search about her social and feminist identity, or a pure literary work

The present study tackles the scientific model and the mechanisms of operating in the formation of the image of the artistic work to create a scene that cares for the aesthetic decoration through raw and techniques and employing them to express the aesthetic values that care for what is not familiar and deviation from the familiar in the visual exhibition and the care for the employment of the technical abilities, lighting, and sound as well as the employment of multiple materials. The research presents the objectives of his study in the exhibition hall of Natural History Museum (University of Baghdad) to create an aesthetic and expressive state at the same time. Then, in the theoretical framework the researcher traces the experiments of

أشارت الجهود المعرفية السابقة إلى وجود اهتمام متزايد بالجماعات (Groups) على أساس أنها اللبنات الأساسية لقيام المنظمات. وقد فرض تعدد المنظمات في المجتمعات المعاصرة وتباينها من حيث أهدافها وطبيعة نشاطها، تجزئة فعالياتها إلى تخصصات عدة على وفق إطار تقسيم العمل، وبما أدى إلى تقسيم الأفراد العاملين إلى جماعات مختلفة في أدائها وأحجامها وشكلها، والتي تعمل جميعها لتحقيق هدف&

The main subject of this poem is a chance meeting between Baudelaire and unknown beautiful lady.  Her presence represents the far-fetched, magnificent beauty. This beauty forms an aspect of idealism that takes its real existence and disappears immediately.

This emotional poem deals with the continuous despair that dates back to the Romantic age where it was a key topic; the passing woman embodies destiny. All this comes from constant experience and mad love through the poet’s view to a woman paving the way toward the unknown. Baudelaire, however, noticed this unknown through a passer-by that reflected the real and magical image of this unk

حل الاشكالية المنهجية في العلوم الانسانية المنهج البنيوي انموذجاً مقترحاً

لا يستطيع كل كائن حي أو كيان اجتماعي أداء دوره الذي يفترض أن يقوم به ما لم يمتلك الوسائل الكافية والضرورية لأداء ذلك الدور قال سبحانه وتعالى ((قال ربنا الذي أعطى كل شيء خلقه ثم هدى – طه 50)).

والنشاط الاقتصادي كجزء من الكيان الكلي للمجتمع لا يختلف عن هذه القاعدة، إذ عندما يراد من النظام الاقتصادي أداء دور فاعل فلا غنى له عن الوسائل التي تمكنه من أداء دوره المنشود. للنظام الاقتصادي مجمو