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The Bayesian Estimation in Competing Risks Analysis for Discrete Survival Data under Dynamic Methodology with Application to Dialysis Patients in Basra/ Iraq
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Survival analysis is one of the types of data analysis that describes the time period until the occurrence of an event of interest such as death or other events of importance in determining what will happen to the phenomenon studied. There may be more than one endpoint for the event, in which case it is called Competing risks. The purpose of this research is to apply the dynamic approach in the analysis of discrete survival time in order to estimate the effect of covariates over time, as well as modeling the nonlinear relationship between the covariates and the discrete hazard function through the use of the multinomial logistic model and the multivariate Cox model. For the purpose of conducting the estimation process for both the discrete hazard function and the time-dependent parameters, two estimation methods have been used that depend on the Bayes method according to dynamic modeling: the Maximum A Posterior method (MAP) This method was done using numerical methods represented by a Iteratively Weighted Kalman Filter Smoothing (IWKFS) and in combination with the Expectation maximization algorithm (EM), the other method is represented by the Hybrid Markov Chains Monte Carlo (HMCMC) method using the Metropolis Hasting algorithm (MH) and Gypsum sampling (GS). It was concluded that survival analysis by descretization the data into a set of intervals is more flexible and fluid, as this allows analyzing risks and diagnosing impacts that vary over time. The study was applied in the survival analysis on dialysis until either death occurred due to kidney failure or the competing event, represented by kidney transplantation. The most important variables affecting the patient’s cessation of dialysis were also identified for both events in this research.

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 01 2024
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
On pre- Open Regular Spaces
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In this paper, certain types of regularity of topological spaces have been highlighted, which fall within the study of generalizations of separation axioms. One of the important axioms of separation is what is called regularity, and the spaces that have this property are not few, and the most important of these spaces are Euclidean spaces. Therefore, limiting this important concept to topology is within a narrow framework, which necessitates the use of generalized open sets to obtain more good characteristics and preserve the properties achieved in general topology. Perhaps the reader will realize through the research that our generalization preserved most of the characteristics, the most important of which is the hereditary property. Two t

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Scopus (1)
Scopus
Publication Date
Tue Dec 31 2019
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Market Research And Consumer Protection
Extending the storage life of some fruits by using Pullulan produced from locally isolate Aureobasidium pullulans: Extending the storage life of some fruits by using Pullulan produced from locally isolate Aureobasidium pullulans
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Six isolates of A. pullulans were collected from many sources including Hibiscus sabdariffa (Roselle), old Roofs of houses and bathroom surface that referred as Ap ros1, Ap or2, 3, 4 and Ap bs5, 6 respectively, all these isolates were identified based on morphological characteristics and nutritional physiology profiles, all were able to utilize various carbon and nitrogen sources such as glucose, xylose, sucrose, maltose, ammonium sulfate, ammonium nitrate and ammonium chloride, also they showed positive test for starch and amylase, while α-cellulose, ethanol, and methanol were could not be ass

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Publication Date
Tue Sep 01 2020
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Modified Weighted Pareto Distribution Type I (MWPDTI)
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In this paper, the Azzallini’s method used to find a weighted distribution derived from the standard Pareto distribution of type I (SPDTI) by inserting the shape parameter (θ) resulting from the above method to cover the period (0, 1] which was neglected by the standard distribution. Thus, the proposed distribution is a modification to the Pareto distribution of the first type, where the probability of the random variable lies within the period  The properties of the modified weighted Pareto distribution of the type I (MWPDTI) as the probability density function ,cumulative distribution function, Reliability function , Moment and  the hazard function are found. The behaviour of probability density function for MWPDTI distrib

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Scopus (6)
Crossref (3)
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Publication Date
Sun Dec 01 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
دراسة تحليلية لظاهرة الفساد الاداري والمالي في بعض المؤسسات الصحية لمحافظة القادسية: An analytical study of the phenomenon of administrative and financial corruption in some health institutions in Al-Qadisiyah Governorate
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Certainly there is a negative impact on development due to corruption in its corruption forms It is administrative and financial as well as direct impact on all sectors Including the health sector, which has seen in Iraq a marked setback in performance and services , The research aims at the possibility of demonstrating the negative effects of financial and administrative corruption on health institutions and Inability to meet health needs The extent to which Regulatory institutions and institutions manage to reduce financial and administrative corruption and ways of dealing with it The phenomenon of financial and administrative corruption is the most serious phenomenon because of its impact on economic growth, which in turn impedes the

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Publication Date
Thu Feb 01 2018
Journal Name
Association Of Arab Universities Journal Of Engineering Sciences
Effect of High Temperature (Fire Flame) on the Behavior of Post-tensioned Concrete Beams
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Publication Date
Sat Feb 09 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The martial rights and duties (Rights and duties of a woman and a man)
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This research addresses the relevance of men and women and the consequent provisions
such as dowry and alimony ... Of the like, marriage is to organize links masculinity and
femininity any sexual meeting between men and women a special system that must be
produces reproduction him and alone, which gets its reproduction in human kind, and has no
family and on the basis of private life is being organized.
The importance of the topic see Islam has urged marriage and forbade celibacy, and ensure
that the Lord of Glory Almighty married subsidy nor the origin of the differences between
men and women in money or workmanship or blue-chip Every Muslim inept any Muslim and
every Muslim efficient for any Muslim.
The impor

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Publication Date
Thu Jul 25 2019
Journal Name
The Eurasia Proceedings Of Science Technology Engineering And Mathematics
Impact of the Chemical Mutagenesis on Biomass and Productivity of some Micro Green Algae
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The Eurasia Proceedings of Science Technology Engineering and Mathematics | Volume: 6

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Publication Date
Sun Sep 07 2014
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Studying the Effect of Water on Electrical Conductivity of Carbon Reinforced Aluminum Composite Material
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The aim of this study is to understand the effect of addition carbon types on aluminum electrical conductivity which used three fillers of carbon reinforced aluminum at different weight fractions. The experimental results showed that electrical conductivity of aluminum was decreased by the addition all carbon types, also at low weight fraction of carbon black; it reached (4.53S/cm), whereas it was appeared highly increasing for each carbon fiber and synthetic graphite. At (45%) weight fraction the electrical conductivity was decreased to (4.36Scm) and (4.27Scm) for each carbon fiber and synthetic graphite, respectively. While it was reached to maximum value with carbon black. Hybrid composites were investigated also; the results exhibit tha

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Crossref
Publication Date
Thu Jan 04 2024
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Achieving customer satisfaction by booking electronic flight tickets via the Internet of Things technology
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Abstract:

                The aim of this research is to highlight the importance of achieving customer satisfaction by using information technology and Internet networks in the process of purchasing flight tickets, and switching from the traditional method of purchasing and payment operations to the electronic method, to reduce the financial and non-financial risks associated with the traditional purchasing process, as well as saving time, effort and costs for the customer. The researcher used the deductive approach in linking the variables (achieving customer satisfaction and Internet of Things technology for booking electronic tickets)

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Publication Date
Fri Aug 01 2025
Journal Name
Iop Conference Series: Earth And Environmental Science
Influence of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity on the Ionospheric Sporadic-E Layer Over Baghdad
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Abstract<p>This study examines the monthly mean diurnal variations of the ionospheric sporadic E (Es) layer’s critical frequency (<italic>foEs</italic>) and virtual height (<italic>h′Es</italic>) above Baghdad city (latitude 33.3˚N, longitude 44.4˚E) during Solar Cycle 22 (1988–1995). The analysis examines their correlation with solar activity, represented by sunspot numbers, and geomagnetic disturbances, particularly during the descending phase of the cycle. The findings revealed that <italic>foEs</italic> values were the highest during the solar maximum years (1989–1991), aligning with increased sunspot numbers and geomagnetic activity due to coronal mas</p> ... Show More
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